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Best/Worst Case Scenarios: How Will the Dolphins’ Draftees Perform as Rookies?

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Laremy Tunsil

Best Case Scenario:

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(Brett Davis – USA TODAY Sports)

Tunsil’s off-the-field issues and his corresponding draft day fall to Miami have been well documented, but every step he has since taken to repair his image has inspired optimism for his future. Tunsil’s handling of the negative publicity continues to impress well into the offseason. With every question about the gas mask video, receiving benefits from boosters or altercations with his stepfather, Tunsil takes accountability but impressively refocuses the attention back to his performance on the field.

By training camp, it is clear that Tunsil will be playing at left tackle, his natural position, in order to maximize the performance of the entire offensive line. 32-year old Brandon Albert shifts to guard, masking the inevitable decline of his athleticism, while the Dolphins’ young prodigy is able to display the talents that had him in discussion for the first overall pick in the 2016 NFL Draft.

Tunsil starts from day one, immediately becoming the anchor for a position group that has desperately needed stability over the past few years. He quickly becomes the best friend of head coach Adam Gase. The Ole Miss standout protects the blindside of developing quarterback Ryan Tannehill, while acting as a weapon in the run game despite the lack of a standout at the running back position. He even gets his wish and records a receiving touchdown when lining up as a tight end against the Pittsburgh Steelers. By midseason, it is clear that the selection of Tunsil was one of the best in the entire draft.

Worst Case Scenario:

Despite the progress that Tunsil has seemingly made, his prior behavioral issues catch up to him much sooner than expected. He gradually seems to become distracted and unable to cope with the typical pressure of being a rookie in the NFL. Additionally the stress of consistently being evaluated under a microscope by the league, the franchise, and the public only makes it more difficult for him to adjust. To make matters worse, the pre-arthritic ankle injury that supposedly contributed to his draft day fall leaves him on the sideline for part of his rookie season as the team attempts to sustain his health long-term.

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(Justin Ford – USA TODAY Sports)

Although Tunsil’s future is undoubtedly at tackle, the coaching staff is unwilling to move Albert to guard after his Pro Bowl season in 2015. The former Rebel’s play remains solid, if not unspectacular, at his new position. His athletic abilities are evidently up to par, but he struggles at times as he learns the intricacies of the guard position. While his upside remains, he does not yet show the potential that had scouts considering him the top overall prospect throughout much of the draft process. Tunsil evidently must wait until his sophomore season to play at his natural position in order to ultimately provide the fan base the excitement that has been expected since his named was called in Chicago.

Xavien Howard

Best Case Scenario:

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(Jamie Squire – Getty Images)

Xavien Howard immediately starts across from Byron Maxwell in the Dolphins’ secondary. He shows exactly why Miami chose him in the second round and warrants claims about his fit in defensive coordinator Vance Joseph’s scheme. He experiences the inevitable growing pains of a rookie cornerback, but follows every mistake with some obvious growth.

Despite a weak start to the season against the Patriots and Seahawks, he breaks out against Robert Griffin III and the Browns in Week 3. In addition to two passes defended, Howard gets his first interception since the preseason and returns it for 30 yards to set up his offense in the red zone.

He adds necessary weight to his frame, which assists him in his attempts to match up against the game’s biggest receivers and hold his own in run support. Additionally, with the help of the defensive backs’ guru Joseph and the constant support given by a deep safety, he shows clear improvements in technique, and is able to cut down on the penalties that plagued him throughout his time at Baylor.

Teams quickly realize that Howard is a force to be reckoned with and make him a bigger part of their game plan. By the end of the season, Howard has totaled 12 passes defended, 3 interceptions, 50 combined tackles, and a sack.

Worst Case Scenario:

The former Baylor standout fails to claim the starting job across from Maxwell. He shows potential, but isn’t nearly as ready to contribute as the team expected when they spent their second round selection on him. Veteran receivers take advantage of his tendency to grab in coverage, and he remains a liability in run support, making it difficult for Joseph to keep him on the field.

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(Ronald Martinez – Getty Images)

His ball skills are still obvious, but he can’t seem to put himself in the right situations to display them. In turn, Howard totals just one interception in the entire season. Faster receivers consistently victimize him, and the concerns regarding his ability to track the ball in the air are obvious from the first snap of his NFL career. Joseph often successfully employs a deep safety to help offset these weaknesses, but this move takes away from some of his play calling flexibility and creativity.

Howard has his bright spots, particularly against the Dolphins’ weaker competition, but struggles with consistency throughout the season and surrenders far too many big plays. Even fellow rookie Corey Coleman of the Cleveland Browns beats Howard for a touchdown, and he predictably didn’t fare any better against the receiver corps in Pittsburgh and Arizona. Overall, Howard’s first season didn’t inspire much confidence in his ability to develop into a number one corner.

Kenyan Drake

Best Case Scenario:

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(Marvin Gentry – USA TODAY Sports)

By midseason, former Alabama afterthought Kenyan Drake finds himself in a full-on committee in the Miami backfield. He plays in nearly all third down and obvious passing situations, while also relieving starter Jay Ajayi on early downs at times as well.

Drake amazes Dolphins fans with his first-class explosiveness, consistently breaking off big plays in the run game and through the air. Gase takes advantage of his versatility by lining him up all over the field: in the backfield, out wide and in the slot. With a series of reverses, screen passes, and double moves, Gase makes sure to utilize Drake in ways that take advantage of his speed and play making ability.

He scores his first touchdown of his young career in Week 5 against the Tennessee Titans… on a kick return. This gives him momentum as the team enters a pivotal stretch against the Steelers, Jets, and Bills. While he doesn’t seem to have a fantastic statistical season, he impacts the game in so many different ways that the numbers are deceiving. He accumulates close to 1,500 total all-purpose yards and takes an immeasurable amount of pressure off of Ryan Tannehill, Jay Ajayi, and even Jarvis Landry. For these reasons alone, Miami’s biggest surprise pick of the 2016 NFL Draft immediately pays dividends.

Worst Case Scenario:

The Kenyan Drake experiment fails miserably. As predicted, his patience and vision are subpar at best. He relies on his speed far-too-often, bouncing his runs to the outside on the majority of his carries and failing to prove that he can make teams pay in between the tackles. This leaves Ajayi as the only Dolphins’ back capable of making a true impact on the early downs.

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(Matthews Emmons – USA TODAY Sports)

Unfortunately, Drake doesn’t transition into his role as third-down back as seamlessly as hoped either. He struggles with drops as he attempts to pick up Gase’s advanced offensive schemes and largely disappoints in pass blocking as well. While his few inevitable home run carries allow him to continue receiving opportunities in Miami’s offense, his inconsistency in an area that was supposed to be his strongest attribute leaves a lot to be desired out of a third round pick. Plus, while the team rewards him with kick off return duties early in his rookie season, he eventually loses the job after a series of returns that failed to reach the 20-yard line.

Additionally, he deals with multiple nagging injuries to his lower body throughout his rookie season. Not only does this stunt his early development, but it also has the team worrying that his legs may not hold up later on into his career. For a player that relies so much on his explosiveness, multiple leg injuries this early on can be extremely detrimental to his chances at success in this league.

Leonte Carroo

Best Case Scenario:

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(Jim O’Connor – USA TODAY Sports)

Fans understandably questioned the selection of Leonte Carroo due to the depth that the Dolphins seemed to have at wide receiver and the supposed weaknesses at other position groups (specifically guard and linebacker). Yet by the end of the season, Carroo verifies why the front office finally resorted to the “best player available” strategy with his selection. He beats out Matt Hazel for the fourth receiver spot and impresses even in his somewhat limited action.

He shows the smarts and necessary skillset to gain separation both from the slot and on the outside, which obviously helps him get onto the field, especially in obvious passing situations. He spends the first half of his rookie season gaining the trust of the coaching staff, utilizing his impressive hands to move the chains on a few key third downs against the Bengals on Thursday Night Football as well as against the Bills a few weeks later.

When Devante Parker once again falls victim to his own feet, Carroo finally moves into three-receiver sets. He scores his first touchdown in his second career start (against the 49ers in Week 12) and continues his strong play until Parker returns in Week 14. His performance to end the season inspires confidence in the coaching staff, allowing them to let Kenny Stills walk in 2017. Leonte Carroo spends his first year learning about the intricacies of the position, and what it takes to stay out of trouble off the field, from Jarvis Landry; the dividends are obvious as he progresses through his career.

Worst Case Scenario:

The top three wide receiver slots were quite obviously filled heading into the new season, but many expected Carroo to at least supplant Hazel for the fourth receiver spot. Instead, he remains stationary at five on the depth chart. His average explosiveness leaves him struggling to find ways to beat NFL-caliber defensive backs and, while he was able to outsmart college corners in order to gain separation in his routes, he doesn’t exhibit the same success in his rookie season at the next level.

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(Andrew Mills – NJ Advance Media)

More significantly, however, off-the-field concerns create worry about his ability to handle an NFL career. While Carroo seemed to have a skillset similar to that of Landry’s coming out of the draft process, the biggest difference was in their demeanor. Both are undoubtedly competitive, yet Landry has a desire to be great that is unmatched. Miami drafted Carroo knowing that for someone who had his fair share of suspensions in college, even the slightest loss of focus could’ve sent Carroo into a downward spiral. In this case, the decision backfired.

Jakeem Grant

Best Case Scenario:

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(John Weast – Getty Images)

Gase gets creative in order to make use of sixth round pick Jakeem Grant. With Landry, Parker, Stills, Hazel, and Carroo all ahead of Grant on the depth chart, there isn’t much playing time to be had. That doesn’t prevent him from making an impact, however. He gets his first real game action in sub packages when Parker deals with his inevitable foot injuries. Even when the entire receiver corps is healthy, Gase makes it a priority to at least occasionally get Grant into space to take advantage of his electrifying talent.

With a series of reverses, screens, swing passes, and routes out of the backfield, Grant has multiple opportunities to display his incredible shiftiness. While he doesn’t always take advantage of these chances, he shows enough to warrant consideration for a bigger offensive role in 2017. He accumulates a couple of plays for 20+ yards, in addition to a seven-yard touchdown on a screen pass in the fourth quarter of a blowout game against the Cardinals in Week 14.

Grant’s most significant contributions come on special teams. He takes over for Landry in the punt return game and beats out fellow rookie Drake for kick return duties as well. While he puts the team in bad field position a few times on kick returns as he attempts to make the big play, he more than makes up for it each time his ambition pays off. He brings much of the same excitement that Landry was able to bring, but helps Miami take their star player out of unnecessary harm’s way. In other words, Grant turned out to be exactly what the team hoped for when they spent their first sixth round pick on him.

Worst Case Scenario:

Gase attempts to get Grant involved as much as possible despite the depth at the position. However, for the most part, these attempts fail. Grant struggles to adapt to the speed of the NFL game. The “you can’t hit what you can’t catch” mantra remains, but avoiding defenders proves to be much more difficult at the next level. He runs around the field like a chicken with his head cut off, only to lose yards on the majority of his limited possessions.

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(Sue Ogrocki – AP Photo)

From the moment he was drafted, Grant was in the thick of punt/kick return competitions. However, those hopes quickly deteriorate. He struggles throughout training camp and fails to prove himself during the preseason. The former Red Raider consistently gets stopped prior to the 20-yard line on his preseason kick returns, and he even fumbles on a punt return against the Falcons in the third preseason game. He seems as if he is trying to do too much, and the coaching staff becomes worried that his size may result in future troubles holding onto the ball as well.

Despite how exciting he can be with the ball in his hands, his future seems bleak after his rookie season. He unfortunately reminds teams of the undersized former third round pick and new Buffalo Bill Dri Archer, who has failed to make an impact in the NFL despite his unbelievable speed. The overly optimistic hopes that he could eventually develop into a reliable slot receiver seems ridiculous at this point, and he may never make an impact on the Dolphins’ special teams. The franchise moves on from their 2016 sixth round pick much sooner than expected.

Jordan Lucas

Best Case Scenario:

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(Joe Hermitt – PennLive)

Jordan Lucas becomes an instant favorite of Joseph’s due to his obvious versatility and leadership skills. He spends time at both cornerback and safety throughout the season, putting his experience to good use all over the defensive backfield to fight his way onto the field as a rookie. Despite only being provided limited opportunities, he remains in the good grace of the coaching staff because of his reliability. This sets him up for more work down the road, which is all you can really ask from a sixth round pick.

Lucas becomes a valuable contributor on special teams as well. He excels in both kick and punt return coverage, and he even blocks a field goal. While he continues to develop his defensive game, his performance on special teams is his most significant contribution and maintains his standing as an option further down the road.

Nonetheless, he seems to pick up Joseph’s defensive schemes relatively well in the action that he was given, and he adds strength to his thin frame throughout the season. This assists him greatly in his ability to stick with bigger receivers as well as in run support. Evidently, by the conclusion of the 2016 season, Lucas seems ready to increase his role in 2017.

Worst Case Scenario:

The former Nittay Lion’s athletic weaknesses are evident from the start of training camp. He has subpar strength and speed, which severely hamper his ability in coverage. While Miami has seemed to favor him as a corner, he still needs a ton of development in this regard. This takes him out of consideration for cornerback and leaves safety as his only path to playing time on defense, at least in his rookie season. Unfortunately, there doesn’t expect to be many opportunities at safety behind incumbent starters Reshad Jones and Isa Abdul-Quddus.

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(Joe Hermitt – PennLive)

Lucas struggles with Tony Lippett and Michael Thomas for playing time throughout the season, but fails to separate himself from either. He is weak when mirroring receivers, which is an obvious setback for defensive backs. Additionally, he has average-at-best ball skills and is a liability in run support despite his obvious desire to excel in this area. These two aspects make it nearly impossible for Joseph to confidently employ Lucas in his zone heavy defense.

Fortunately, he manages to stick on special teams, but doesn’t stand out in any one area and remains a question mark heading into the next season. With the pass defense still struggling, Miami chooses to address the cornerback position with a high pick in the 2017 NFL Draft, sending Lucas even further down on the depth chart. While the franchise clearly approves of his work ethic and value in the locker room, it is difficult for them to hold onto a player that has no clear future with the team.

Brandon Doughty

Best Case Scenario:

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USA TODAY Sports

Many questioned the decision to draft a quarterback when some of their biggest and most apparent needs had gone unaddressed up to that point in the draft. Nonetheless, they added Western Kentucky star Brandon Doughty to the mix, and in this scenario the move plays big dividends.

Ryan Tannehill is the quarterback of both the present and the future for the Miami Dolphins; this much can’t be denied. However, current backup Matt Moore, while reliable for the time being, is getting up there in age and won’t be able to maintain a high enough level of play forever. Doughty’s production in college is almost unheard of and seemed to warrant taking the chance.

Doughty easily beats out Logan Thomas for the third quarterback slot on the depth chart along with a spot on the 53-man roster. Gase recognizes the weaknesses in arm strength and athleticism but values his game management skills and football smarts. These traits alone make it likely that he can develop into the reliable backup quarterback that every team needs for their roster a few years down the road. In 2020, Doughty takes over for an injured Tannehill and makes a huge impact on the team in relief, much like AJ McCarron did for the Bengals this past year.

Worst Case Scenario:

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(Raymond Carlin III – USA TODAY Sports)

Doughty receives every opportunity to beat out Thomas and make their active roster but crashes and burns in the preseason. He throws multiple interceptions while attempting to make passes that his arm strength clearly won’t allow, and he seems overwhelmed by the level of competition that he is now facing. He also gets sacked a few times, as he lacks the athleticism and quick decision making needed to avoid the loss of yards. The team seems to quickly realize, due to his performance in primetime and on the practice squad, that Doughty’s college production isn’t going to translate to the next level.

Linebacker Stephen Weatherly, selected just a few picks after Doughty, finally realizes his amazing potential for the Minnesota Vikings and makes the Miami Dolphins what they could have been had they held out on drafting the small school quarterback. Plus, they have to spend yet another pick on a quarterback within the next couple of years as they hope to find and develop their future number two.

Thomas Duarte

Best Case Scenario:

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(Kelvin Kuo – USA TODAY Sports)

Gase spends his first season as head coach experimenting with some of the new tools at his disposal, Thomas Duarte included. The UCLA standout lasted until the seventh round of the 2016 NFL Draft, but always seemed to have a lot to offer a team, especially one with an offensive minded head coach. Gase recognizes that Duarte, despite an obvious position, can be used as a mismatch: a player that is bigger than most cornerbacks but faster than most linebackers and safeties.

The path to playing time is understandably difficult as a late round pick that will be forced to play behind Jarvis Landry, Devante Parker, Kenny Stills, Jordan Cameron, and Dion Sims regardless of what position group Thomas Duatre is officially a part of. Nonetheless, he shows glimpses during the preseason and impresses enough at practice, earning him some playing time in sub packages later on in the season. He proves that he can be a vertical threat as well as a safety blanket for Tannehill if and when he is finally given his first true opportunity.

The addition of Duarte puts an exclamation point on a draft class that seemed focused on adding weapons to the offense’s arsenal.

Worst Case Scenario:

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(Joe Robbins – Getty Images)

Duarte injures himself prior to his first preseason game, leaving him unable to display a versatile skillset that had scouts comparing him to Jordan Reed while costing him valuable practice time. Gase appreciates what he has to offer, but struggles to find a place for him at the beginning of his career.

There is a ton of talent in front of him already, and the cards are stacked against him as a seventh round pick. His weakness as a blocker makes it extremely difficult for Gase to employ Duarte in a game setting. With Cameron and Sims in the mix, two tight end sets were never truly a possibility for Duarte in his rookie season. Cameron and Sims get through the 2016 season mostly unscathed, making the need for a third tight end minimal. By the end of his rookie year, Duarte seems destined for the practice squad, at least for the near future.



The Bargain Bin: Best Remaining Free Agent Fits for the Miami Dolphins

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In the NFL there are a few walk on free agents who go on to positively impact their teams on a cheap salary every season. This is often where competent front offices receive the best bang for their buck, as the low-risk high-reward nature of training camp free agents can help supplement positional roster holes. Two years ago, Mike Adams was signed after the draft as a depth safety for the Indianapolis Colts. He has recorded 10 interceptions over the last two years and has made the Pro Bowl both times. Last season, pass-rusher Dwight Freeney joined the Arizona Cardinals in October and ended up leading the team with eight sacks. There is still a lot of bargain bin talent floating around at this time in the year. Whether they’re cut due to bloated salary, extensive injury history, or maybe just being long in the tooth there are definitely unsigned players that can perform at a high level for a franchise in need. The Miami Dolphins are definitely in need of some veteran help, and there are a few guys that could make an immediate impact if the team opts to bring them into fold.

Leon Hall (CB):

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(Photo: John Sommers II/Icon Sportswire)

Signing Leon Hall would almost certainly yield dividends for the Miami Dolphins. Beyond Byron Maxwell and rookie Xavien Howard, there is little depth at the cornerback position. Hall would immediately step into a role as the starting slot cornerback, where he has been very effective throughout his tenure in Cincinnati. While he is not a team altering talent, he has averaged a very respectable 41 total tackles, 3 interceptions, and 12 passes defensed per season over the course of his 9-year career. The reliable corner also has a strong connection to defensive coordinator Vance Joseph, who was the former Bengal’s cornerbacks coach over the last several seasons.

While he may be a very affordable stop gap option for the Dolphins’ defensive backfield this season, there are obviously a few reasons why he has received so little interest since he hit the open market in March. Leon Hall has little of the long-term value that NFL teams tend to covet. At 31 years of age, his best years as a football player are likely behind him. When you consider his rather extensive injury history, it’s also rather safe to assume that his future availability is up in the air. His strong on-the-field performance since tearing his Achilles in 2013 will land him a small contract somewhere, but I’d be shocked if there was a large sum of guaranteed money involved. As it stands now, Hall would make a fine addition as the primary slot cornerback in many of the Dolphins’ nickel and dime subpackages. His consistency, experience, and rapport with Vance Joseph all certainly warrant a chance to see what he has left in the tank.

Arian Foster (RB):

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The first team that Arian Foster visited once he hit free agency was none other than the Miami Dolphins. Reports have since indicated that the meeting went well, though much has changed over the last few months. The coaching staff has displayed absolute confidence in 2nd year running back Jay Ajayi and has drafted scatback Kenyan Drake as the future change-of-pace option. Yet, Miami’s running back cupboard still seems dangerously barren, and the names below Jay Ajayi and Kenyan Drake on the depth chart are Isaiah Pead and Daniel Thomas. Foster represents an intriguing veteran option to pair with Ajayi and Drake. When healthy, Foster is a top-tier NFL running back, easily in the top 10. He is an experienced, hard-working, smart downhill runner who possesses all of the tools to be an elite pass-catcher as well. I think that he would thrive on limited carries as Ajayi and Drake adjust to being featured NFL backs.

Obviously, the issue here is that Foster tears a muscle every time he sneezes. A season in which he manages to only miss three or four games is considered a healthy season. Seriously, he has only been able to put together a full 16 game season twice over his seven year career. To make matters worse, his well-documented injury history now includes a torn Achilles, which is notoriously difficult to bounce back from. He will also be 30 years old by the time next season rolls around, which limits his upside in the long-term. If the team deems the risk worth the reward and signs Foster to a contract, it would likely include very little guaranteed money and would occur sometime around the start of training camp in August. I believe this scenario would yield dividends, as he should have some of the juice that made him an All-Pro remaining in the tank. Plus, having a veteran presence as accomplished as Foster in the backfield certainly wouldn’t hurt the development of the team’s young backs.

Mike Neal (DE/OLB):

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(Photo: Jeff Hanisch / USA TODAY Sports)

There are multiple positions along the Dolphins’ defense that are dangerously devoid of depth. However, none are as vulnerable as the defensive end position. The starting defensive end tandem should give quarterbacks headaches with Cam Wake and All-Pro Mario Williams at the helm. But the edges of the defensive line has a glaring lack of depth behind these two now that Olivier Vernon and Derrick Shelby have flown the coop. Williams and Wake are both over 30, and Wake is coming off of an Achilles tear. The team has yet to address the edge rush, as they avoided the position in free agency and during the draft. Enter Mike Neal.

Neal was far from perfect during his tenure with the Green Bay Packers, but he would almost certainly be third on the depth chart if he were signed. He started 15 games for Green Bay in 2015 and has been productive since he was drafted in the second round of the 2010 NFL Draft. He is by no means a star, but his versatility as an above average run stopper and adequate pass-rusher (at least 4 sacks in each of the last four seasons) should make him a valuable depth option at either 4-3 defensive end or 3-4 outside linebacker. He’s also just about to turn 29, so there is some long-term value if he performs well enough to stick with a team past this season. His versatility and playing experience would be perfect as a rotational option to keep the Dolphins’ graybeards fresh late into the season.

Donald Butler (ILB):

Early in the offseason, the San Diego Chargers cut starting inside linebacker Donald Butler. The move made sense, as Butler had seemingly regressed since coming on strong in his 2011 rookie season. As his athletic ability has faltered somewhat, so has his playmaking ability. However, his reliability in coverage and consistent tackling should make him a valuable depth or rotational option in a team’s linebacker corps. Last season, Miami’s linebacker corps was among the least effective in the league against both the run and passing situations. So, the team added a potential game changer in Kiko Alonso from their trade with the Philadelphia Eagles. But beyond that they have done little else since to bolster the ailing unit.

Jelani Jenkins, Koa Misi, and Zach Vigil round out a linebacker corps that has potential, but little stability. Alonso and Misi have extensive injury histories, and Jenkins and Vigil are still very much unproven. While I think that the linebacker play should be solid if injuries don’t take their toll, the team as a whole would benefit from a proven veteran pushing the younger options while providing depth in case of emergency. Donald Butler has been an average starting NFL linebacker for the last 5 years, and there is no reason to believe that he would not have a positive impact if he ends up taking his talents to South Beach once training camp finally commences.

 


Make it Wayne: How Reggie Wayne’s Presence at OTAs Affects the Dolphins

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Retired All-Pro wide receiver Reggie Wayne was one of the many esteemed guests that joined the Miami Dolphins during OTAs & minicamp over the last few weeks. The long-time Indianapolis Colt was seen on the field decked out in Dolphins gear, where he was presumably assisting the team’s wide receiver corps in getting up to speed. Fellow former All-Pro wide receiver Wes Welker was also present during OTAs, though it seems that, based on media coverage, Wayne was somewhat more involved. Whatever the case may be, the presence of two receivers as respected as Reggie Wayne and Wes Welker just a couple of months after Peyton Manning visited the team is undoubtedly exciting. During Wednesday’s media session, Gase said Wayne was “One of those guys that you just love talking ball with and love being around… Any time any of our players can talk to guys of that caliber. … it’s great for our guys. They learn stuff.” Seasons are hardly won or lost in OTAs, but there are definitely a few reasons that we should be excited about Wayne’s appearance in Davie. 

Reggie Wayne’s Accomplishments:

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Reggie Wayne is a six time Pro Bowler and potential Hall of Famer for a reason. He is seventh All-time in career receptions and eighth All-time in career receiving yards, even though he played second fiddle to Hall of Famer Marvin Harrison for a Lion’s share of his career. Playing alongside Peyton Manning certainly had a lot to do with his incredible production, but it was Wayne’s work-ethic and that allowed him to enjoy such unprecedented success. As a possession receiver, he used elite route running and soft hands to make up for his relatively unimposing size and speed. It was often speculated that Reggie Wayne had one the most extensive route trees in NFL history, even after Peyton Manning was replaced with Andrew Luck. There are countless statistics that I could continue to drone on about concerning Wayne’s accomplishments as an NFL wide receiver, but alas, my editor has informed me that I’d be terminated with extreme prejudice if I ignore my 125 brown-nosing word limit.

What it means for the Wide Receivers:

T.Y. Hilton, Reggie Wayne

(Photo: David J. Phillip/AP)

So, how does Reggie Wayne’s tutoring impact Miami’s receiver corps? Well, Steven, the answer is really quite simple. As I stated previously, Wayne had one of the most extensive route trees in NFL history. He lined up at both the number one and number two positions and spent much of his time in the slot late in his career. This means that he has valuable knowledge to pass on to every receiver on the team, a sentiment that has been echoed by Coach Gase. One needs only to look at the success of some of Wayne’s understudies, most notably current Redskins wide receiver Pierre Garcon and Indianapolis Colts wide receiver T.Y. Hilton, who often accredit many of their accomplishments to Reggie Wayne’s guidance. After Wayne left the team in 2015, Hilton let the world know how he felt about his mentor: “Words can’t explain how I’m feeling. You taught me so much. You took me under your wing and showed me the way.” With the three presumptive starting wideouts, Jarvis Landry, DeVante Parker, and Kenny Stills all under the age of 25, Reggie Wayne could provide valuable intel on how to improve their respective performances.

What it means for the Coaching Staff:

Wayne and Christensen

(Photo: Brian Spurlock, USA Today Sports)

Head coach Adam Gase has done an incredible job at improving the Miami Dolphins’ image around the league. The confidence that respected NFL figures have in him is unprecedented for a first year head coach; his close connection to Peyton Manning obviously is the most significant. One of, if not the best, decision that Gase has made was bringing on Clyde Christensen as his offensive coordinator. Christensen has been coaching football for over 30 years, most significantly as the wide receivers coach and offensive coordinator for the Indianapolis Colts during the majority of the Peyton Manning era. He brings the experience and connections that such a young coaching staff can really benefit from. Wayne is the latest such connection. After Manning, Wayne is perhaps the most prestigious NFL figure that Christensen has coached.

Bringing in mentors that succeeded as players in the NFL is paramount to enhancing team cohesiveness. It helps players buy into the coaching staff’s message and helps bridge the gap between the coaching staff and the rest of the team. They have a certain ability to relate to current players in a way that many coaches simply aren’t able to do. Personal experiences and tips are often just as valuable as knowledge of any playbook or game plan. Reggie Wayne’s experience with Peyton Manning, who influenced Adam Gase’s scheme immeasurably, allows him to act as both a former player and as a coach.

What it means for the Miami Dolphins:

Reggie + Peyton

(Photo: Darron Cummings/AP)

I’ve already spoken ad nauseam about the value that Reggie Wayne’s visit has in the short-term. Having a personable veteran dispense knowledge to the players boosts morale and brings positive attention to the organization as a whole. But, the long-term benefits are just as valuable. As I discussed in my article detailing the benefits of Peyton Manning’s visit, recent moves like signing locker room leader Cameron Wake to a contract extension, bringing in Peyton Manning for an afternoon, and now having Reggie Wayne at OTAs should pay dividends down the line. While I have hope that Peyton Manning joins the coaching staff after this year, I think it more feasible that Reggie Wayne takes his coaching talents to South Beach. The most recent and appropriate example of a former All-Pro joining the ranks of NFL coaches is Ed Reed. The future Hall of Fame safety (who was Reggie Wayne’s roommate at the University of Miami) recently joined the Buffalo Bills’ coaching staff as their assistant defensive backs coach. I can easily see Wayne function in a similar role as the assistant wide receivers coach if he wishes to continue his football career under his own long-time coach Clyde Christensen.

The Dolphins are a perfect fit for Wayne and vice versa. Wayne lives in South Florida, and his induction into the University of Miami’s Hall of Fame a few years ago is indicative of his place in Miami sports history. Gase and Christensen’s hard-working yet relaxed coaching style are appealing to both players and staff alike. Adding a man of Wayne’s caliber at any level can only yield positive results. Not to mention that hiring Reggie Wayne would be adding yet another connection to Peyton Manning. At this point it sounds like fantasy football in 2008, but I can legitimately envision a Dolphins’ coaching staff that includes both Reggie Wayne and Peyton Manning in 2017. Having those two NFL legends on staff in any capacity to go along with Adam Gase and Clyde Christensen would certainly make the Dolphins’ offense a force to be reckoned with.

 


Dolphins Wildcards: What Should Miami Expect from Cameron Wake in 2016?

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Cameron Wake is arguably the best football player to wear a Dolphins uniform over the last decade and most certainly over the last five years. In a rare showing of loyalty, the team opted to extend Wake’s contract an extra year, which now includes $10 million guaranteed. While many fans were excited about locking in the franchise pass rusher for another season, others questioned whether it was a savvy football move for the team going forward. The 34-year-old Pro Bowler seemed to be slowing down even before he tore his Achilles halfway through the season. Fan concern has only been exacerbated since the team has no real semblance of depth after watching both Olivier Vernon and Derrick Shelby walk during free agency. With 30-year-old Mario Williams as the only other reliable pass-rusher on the roster, it is vital that Cameron Wake performs if the defense is to succeed. But how reasonable is it to expect Wake to do just that?

Background and Stats:

Wake Sacks Brady

(Photo: Brad Barr/USA TODAY Sports)

It’s safe to assume that as a Dolphins’ fan, you are well aware of Cameron Wake’s incredible contributions to the franchise. So, in an effort to reduce redundancies, I’ll try to remain as concise as possible. Since he left the CFL to join the Dolphins in 2009, Wake has averaged 10 sacks per season for a grand total of 70. He has made the Pro Bowl in four of his seven seasons, and he was even named a 1st team All-Pro in 2012. After enjoying an 11.5 sack season in 2014, many thought Wake would continue to dominate in 2015, especially with newcomer Ndamukong Suh anchoring the defensive line.

Unfortunately, as you know, 2015 did not go as planned for the Miami Dolphins. Joe Philbin, humanity’s equivalent of oatmeal, was fired after a miserable 1-3 start. During that span, Cameron Wake recorded just a single tackle and no sacks. After the Week 5 bye in which defensive coordinator Kevin Coyle was axed and Joe Philbin was replaced by tight ends coach Dan “Old Ironsides” Campbell, Cameron Wake finally seemed to be his old self again. In Week 6, he took Marcus Mariota’s lunch money to the tune of 4 sacks. In Week 7, he tacked on another two sacks on a reeling Texans team. However, all of that momentum came to a screeching halt during the Miami Dolphins’ Week 8 Thursday night contest against the New England Patriots. Wake tore his Achilles tendon while going after everyone’s favorite model, Tom Brady. It didn’t take long for media analysts and talking heads to speculate as to whether or not Wake could come back from such a devastating injury at the ripe age of 34.

Strengths:

Cameron Wake is one of the best pure pass-rushers that I have had the privilege of watching. The first thing I notice when watching him on tape is his explosiveness. Though age has sapped some of his athleticism, most of the offensive lineman who oppose him probably haven’t noticed. His speed and agility are exceptional and his body control allows him to change direction on a dime. Take this play, the last of his 4 sacks against the Tennessee Titans last year, as a good example:

Wake Sack Ten 4

During the play, Wake blazes past two players. The first, tight end Delanie Walker, fails miserably in slowing down Wake and quickly disengages as a pass-option in the flat. Wake, now on an island against the right tackle, proceeds to put the opposing lineman on skates, effortlessly running past him and into the backfield. Now, with nobody between him and the quarterback, Wake quickly shifts direction and dives for the sack. Too easy.

While Cameron Wake’s explosiveness is the easiest of his positive aspects to recognize, it is his mental mastery of the game that has been the most valuable to him. His technique in rushing the quarterback and his advanced football IQ give him a leg up over the competition. This has been his key to being productive well into his thirties and remains his greatest asset for continuing to do so. Take this play, which turned out to be his final sack of the season, for example:

Wake Sack Brady

What you’ll probably notice immediately is that Wake is off the line of scrimmage before anybody else. Initially, I thought he may have gone offsides, but upon closer inspection, I realized that was not the case. Cameron Wake reads right tackle Cameron Fleming’s movements, as Fleming jumped the gun by a split second in pass-protection. Wake outmaneuvers the slow-footed offensive lineman, prompting Tom Brady to try to escape out of the pocket. Wake has no trouble changing direction and tracks down the future Hall of Fame quarterback without issue.

Of all of Wake’s attributes that have made him a dominant pass-rusher on the field, there is one off the field that could be key going forward. His reputation of working hard and never giving up speaks for itself, but there is one play on the field that showcased it best:

Wake injured

Here you can see the moment that Wake tears his Achilles. Many players would simply succumb to the pain and go to the ground, which is an absolutely natural reaction. Cam Wake doesn’t do that here. Instead, he hops on one leg in an attempt to get to Tom Brady. If that isn’t a superhuman display of toughness and fortitude, then I don’t know what is.

Weaknesses:

Wake is an aging pass-rushing specialist, so it’s understandable that the team would take him out of the game during running situations. He has never been a great run defender to begin with, as his lack of size makes it impossible for him to be a stalwart against the run. He also has a tendency to over-pursue the quarterback (as most pass-rushers do), leading to occasionally poor angles when tracking the running back. Take this play against the Redskins for example:

Wake bad angle

When Cameron Wake realizes it’s a running play, he adjusts his positioning and accidentally runs into Ndamukong Suh and a fallen Redskins lineman. By the time he starts tracking Alfred Morris, the play is just about over.

Another weak point in Wake’s game is a relatively recent development. As he has gotten older, his agility has predictably declined. His struggle with minor hamstring injuries has compounded the problem. Last season Wake struggled in space, and he was often rendered unable to tackle running backs and mobile quarterbacks. In fact you could even call him a liability when the quarterback left the pocket, which is evidenced by his mere 9 tackles last season. Take this play against the Bills for example:

Wake ankle breaks

The play is a play action fake. Tyrod Taylor fakes the handoff to Shady McCoy left and rolls out to the right. Even though Wake recognizes the play action fairly quickly, his body does not cooperate with his mind. Tyrod Taylor breaks Wake’s ankles, allowing him to complete a deep pass to Charles Clay for a chunk of yardage and a first down.

At this point in his career, Cameron Wake is somewhat one-dimensional. He excels as a pass-rusher, but tends to be mediocre in a lot of other situations. But, even rotational rushers can make a huge impact on a defense. The biggest question regarding Wake is if he can manage to stay on the field. Torn Achilles muscles are among the most difficult injuries to come back from, especially for veteran players. It’s fair to wonder as to whether or not the 34-year-old will even see the field this season after such a devastating injury, and his history of minor ailments makes matters murkier.

The Skinny:

102515  spt tx fins 22

(Photo: Bill Ingram/The Palm Beach Post)

Optimistically, I don’t see Cameron Wake’s recovery as an “if” so much as a “when.” However, in my opinion, it’s unreasonable to expect him to be the dominant force that he has been in years past. At this point in his career, when he’s healthy, Cameron Wake’s best fit is as a situational pass-rusher. The new role would limit his snap count, thus reducing his probability of injury and allowing the team to get the most bang for their buck. Unfortunately, this role reduction may not be in the cards.

As it stands now, Cameron Wake and Mario Williams are the only proven options at the defensive end position. Considering the lack of defensive line depth, the Dolphins may not have the luxury of limiting Wake’s snap count, especially if Dion Jordan does not rejoin the team from his yearlong suspension. Whatever the case may be, I think the Miami Dolphins would do well to follow the plan of action that the Indianapolis Colts took with Robert Mathis last season.

Like Wake, Mathis was a 34-year-old perennial Pro Bowler as a pass-rusher coming off a torn Achilles. The Colts held him out of the preseason and Week 1. When they were given the green light, they let Mathis play in Week 2 and gradually increased his snaps over the course of the season until he took back his starting job midway through the season. Mathis was able to avoid injury and lead the team with 7 sacks. Wake can do that and more if Adam Gase’s coaching staff utilizes him appropriately. As I’ve said, it is not reasonable to expect the Cameron Wake of 2014, but the Cameron Wake of 2016 could still be a force to be reckoned with.

 


Quick Slant: Recapping Days 6 & 7 of Miami Dolphins Training Camp

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Here are our notes and observations from Thursday’s and Friday’s Miami Dolphins practices:

Injuries & a Cautious Approach:

  • Jay Ajayi practiced with the Dolphins for a full pads session on Friday morning after missing time earlier in the week. However, DeVante Parker remains sidelined with a hamstring injury. Ndamukong Suh and Kiko Alonso joined DeVante Parker in the sideline club on Friday as they also worked through injuries.
  • The Dolphins have been generous with rest days so far in camp, with Branden Albert sitting out on Friday.
  • The Dolphins’ philosophy going forward is clearly one founded upon caution. The team is holding out players to make sure smaller injuries do not linger or have a chance to flare up during the regular season.
  • The Dolphins are also rotating players in as to make sure their health is placed ahead of any other priorities.

Quarterbacks:

  • Ryan Tannehill’s performance for the first half of Friday’s practice was one he will hope to forget. Without any coverage, he misfired on four consecutive deep throws to receivers. However, Tannehill rebounded when 1-on-1 CB vs. WR drills began, completing three straight beautiful passes of 35+ yards. Moral of the story? There isn’t one. It’s training camp.
  • Brandon Doughty’s accuracy appears to be his greatest asset. While he lacks raw arm strength, his ball placement and ability to deliver accordingly have been on display in recent practices. Friday’s practice was the first time he was able to clearly separate himself from Dysert.

Running Back Rotation & Versatility:

  • On Friday, the Dolphins had their full stable of running backs on the field for the first time in camp Jay Ajayi ran with the starters, as did Arian Foster. The two split reps as Kenyan Drake handled 2nd and 3rd team duties with Damien Williams.
  • While we won’t be able to tell until he faces live tacklers, Arian Foster appears to be the Dolphins’ best back early in camp.
  • Kenyan Drake and Arian Foster have both done work with the wide receivers in pass catching drills. Not only are they refining this ability, but they are also putting it to use frequently in their 11-on-11 work. The team has used both running backs frequently as receivers out. They have even thrown Ajayi in the mix outside of the numbers.
  • Damien Williams is working on special teams for kickoff returns, which will most likely be his best way to guarantee a roster spot. However, this effort got off to a rocky start as he muffed a kickoff during Friday’s practice.

Defensive Line:

  • In Thursday’s practice, the Dolphins displayed the Wide-9 in a very clear fashion. How did the offense respond? By audibling into a run and gashing them. The Wide-9 is usually only called when the opponent is forced to pass, meaning they can’t exploit the obvious increase in defensive gap size.
  • The defensive line was one of the only high points in Friday’s practice. They victimized the offense, with three would-be sacks of Ryan Tannehill in one drive.

Secondary: 

  • Friday’s practice gave a very bad look to the defensive backs. While we obviously shouldn’t draw any extreme conclusions from a few practices, it is somewhat concerning to see completions being made at such a staggering rate. Not only is the offense completing passes, but they’re also drawing defensive pass interference calls frequently.
  • The defensive backs appear to be sticking close in coverage but struggling to close the deal. Essentially they will be in the right position but cannot locate the ball, disrupt the pass, or finish the play.
  • Chimdi Chekwa started over Tony Lippett on Friday. It’s up for interpretation whether this says more about Lippett and the rest of the corners or about Chekwa and his potential.
  • Schematically it appears that the defense is implementing single-high safety sets with a high number of shifts. This allows safeties (ex: run-stopping enthusiast Reshad Jones) to come down into the box while another safety shifts up to play over the top. Miami’s safeties have been working on this, often finding success. Midway through Friday’s practice, Reshad Jones appeared to approach the line of scrimmage to move back up with Walt Aikens coming down into the box and blitzing for a would-be sack.

Linebackers:

  • It is incredibly difficult to evaluate linebackers in training camp, as they really can’t tackle with full force. However, coverage is an interesting way to look at the position’s standing. On Friday, with Kiko Alonso out, the Dolphins often employed a two-linebacker system in which a safety would come down and become a third run stopper or blitzer.
  • On Thursday, Kiko Alonso shadowed running backs for most of practice. This will be an important responsibility of his going forward in the modern NFL, which features an array of ways to get backs involved in the passing game.
  • James Michael Johnson rotated in at inside linebacker with Kiko Alonso out on Friday. He could be higher on the depth chart than most fans believed.

Best Plays: 

  • Thursday: One of the biggest gripes with the Dolphins in years past has been an inability to exploit mismatches. On Thursday, the offense countered a Wide-9 set with a run play that would have been a substantial gain. See an opportunity and take it.
  • Friday: Tannehill’s string of deep passes took the cake. His three throws downfield were all placed perfectly and eased fans’ minds after a rough start to the day on deep passes. His better throws actually came with cornerbacks in coverage.

Miscellaneous: 

  • Wes Welker was with the Dolphins again on Thursday, coaching the wide receivers. He has been a frequent presence in Davie for this year’s camp.
  • Leonte Carroo has been working with the starters in DeVante Parker’s absence. He is the No. 3 option when DVP is sidelined.
  • The team clearly feels no need to commit to a true starting lineup this early in camp. The offensive line, defensive line (specifically right end), and running back positions have all seen frequent changes and switches. The staff can be expected to make more concrete decisions as to who is pulling ahead in starting-races after some preseason action.
  • The Dolphins will be scrimmaging on Saturday night, with the “game” starting at 6:00pm following a 5:00pm practice (which one could expect to resemble a walk-through).
  • The Dolphins played Iggy Azalea during Thursday’s practice. 1-15 confirmed.

Preseason Premiere: Best and Worst Performances from Miami’s 27-10 Win

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Although a 50-minute weather delay deprived us of Miami Dolphins’ football for what felt like an additional week, the season is finally here. And, for a split second, I already wanted it to be over. The Dolphins started very poorly, quickly allowing 10 points to an Eli Manning-less Giants team in a classic display of ineptitude at the line of scrimmage. In all fairness, the Dolphins were down many of their starters; Ndamukong Suh, Mario Williams, Cameron Wake, Byron Maxwell and Reshad Jones did not play on defense and DeVante Parker did not play on offense. Ryan Tannehill and the starting offense struggled mightily in the two series they played- the outside offensive line especially. But, thankfully, the team rallied around their defense in the 2nd quarter after an incredible interception from Bobby McCain and from there the offense followed suit. Vance Joseph’s aggressive defense caused four turnovers and harassed the Giants’ quarterbacks throughout the night. The offense played well under the direction of the backup quarterbacks, ultimately scoring 27 unanswered points after the starting lineup’s slow start. While the game did leave some to be desired, there was certainly a lot to be excited about.

Players Who Impressed:

Chris McCain (DE):

Chris McCain started off a little sloppy, negating a sack with an offsides penalty in the first series, but he was great as the defense got settled. His athleticism was on full display, as he effortlessly tracked down running backs before they had a chance to hit the open field. When he wasn’t giving Andre Williams headaches, Chris McCain helped ruin Ryan Nassib’s night, managing an athletic sack of the Giants’ quarterback in the 2nd quarter. McCain definitely made his case to be the team’s 3rd option at defensive end after Cameron Wake and Mario Williams.

Bobby McCain (CB):

Bobby McCain great pick

On a night where the secondary played exceptionally well, Bobby McCain stood out and then some. His interception of Ryan Nassib was one of the highlights of the night, and he nearly had another one early in the game. His coverage as the nickel option was impeccable, and he figures to be a logical option as the starter in that position going forward.

Mike Hull (LB):

While Hull probably won’t be a starting linebacker anytime soon, he proved that he definitely could have a place on the roster. The tackling machine lived up to his reputation as a great special teams contributor and performed well as a backup linebacker as well. He ended the night with three solo tackles and should benefit from more snaps after such a solid performance.

Walt Aikens (FS):

The third year safety was among the most impressive players on the field throughout the night. He did not spend a whole lot of time in coverage, acting instead as run-support and going after the quarterback. His 5 total tackles were the most on the team, and his sack-fumble of Ryan Nassib set up the Dolphins’ first touchdown of the season.

Laremy Tunsil (LG):

The first round pick was strangely absent from the team’s starting lineup during the first two series, but was present with the second team where he played the rest of the half as the starting left guard. While not perfect, there were two or three stellar blocks by the product out of Ole Miss who also managed to avoid any major mistakes on a night where the offensive line as a whole made plenty of them. Expect Tunsil to be in the starting lineup as a left guard when the regular season starts.

Brandon Doughty (QB):

After fumbling on the first snap of his NFL career, Brandon Doughty regained his poise and made a number of beautiful throws on the two drives he piloted. He seems to have a very good rapport with fellow rookie Jakeem Grant, as the two teammates connected on three solid first downs. He ultimately went 7-9 for 66 yards and will be battling Zac Dysert for the third quarterback spot on the roster going forward.

Julius Warmsley (DL):

I’m not going to lie, I had no idea who Julius Warmsley was a few hours ago. I do not believe that I am alone in that boat. However, plenty of fans now know Warsmely’s name. The undrafted rookie defensive lineman definitely had his Wheaties in the morning. He managed three tackles, two sacks and a forced fumble in his coming out party against the Giants. He has a lot of competition battling for a spot on the roster as a defensive lineman, but he probably just earned himself a legitimate chance to prove he belongs.

Jakeem Grant (WR):

Screen

I knew that the Dolphins drafted Jakeem Grant with the intent of adding an electric returner who can take the onus off of Jarvis Landry, but I admit I was a little skeptical of Grant’s viability as a receiver. After watching him run crisp routes and make great plays (four catches for 68 yards) off a diverse route tree, consider me all aboard the Jakeem Grant hype train. Oh, and he’s not too shabby at punt returning either.

Matt Darr (P):

The Dolphins could very well be a train wreck once the regular season begins, but take solace knowing that Matt Darr is very, very good at punting footballs.

Players Who Disappointed:

Branden Albert (LT):

Bill Kostroun AP

(Photo: Bill Kostroun/AP)

In the first two series, the outside offensive line play was horrendous. Ryan Tannehill had negative time to throw the football, and Branden Albert was one of the worst offenders. He was beat badly by some of the more athletic defensive ends, including none other than Olivier Vernon. Unfortunately, I see this as a recurring theme for Miami going forward. Albert is a Pro Bowler who is technically sound, but struggles against more athletic pass-rushers. It makes me wonder whether the team would be better off with Tunsil at tackle and Albert at guard.

Ja’wuan James (RT):

Like Branden Albert, Ja’wuan James struggled for the short period of time he was on the field. He was beaten badly at least once and nullified a first down by Jay Ajayi with a holding penalty. It was definitely not a strong showing by the starting offensive tackles Friday night.

Jordan Phillips (DT):

Jordan Phillips wasn’t bad so much as not up to par. He made some good moves and ate up space as good defensive tackles are supposed to, but often struggled disengaging blocks. He didn’t record a single statistic save for a hands to the face penalty early in the game. Not a strong showing from a potential starter, but expect him to bounce back next week.

Isa Abdul-Quddus (FS):

Ray Stubblebine AP2

(Photo: Ray Stubblebine/AP)

Isa Abdul-Quddus was criminally underrated as a Detroit Lion. He was one of my favorite free agent signings during the offseason, but I’m having second thoughts after seeing him struggle in his debut for the Dolphins. After being relegated behind Michael Thomas in training camp, IAQ did not play well on Friday. He missed some tackles, including one where Shane Vereen made him look quite silly. He figures to have a roster spot regardless, but don’t be surprised if he loses out on the starting job.

Ulrick John (OT):

The depth offensive tackle struggled with penalties and was beaten a few times on the outside. His struggles exemplified the issues that the Dolphins have had with outside offensive line play.

Kiko Alonso (LB):

Alonso didn’t play all that much on Friday, but he still managed to miss an essential tackle that led to Rashad Jennings’ touchdown. Not a good look for the presumed starting linebacker, although he did record two tackles.

Ryan Tannehill (QB):

Tannehill’s 2-4 for 8 yards was primarily on the offensive line, but his throw to Ajayi that nearly resulted in an interception could have been executed better. As the quarterback, he bares ultimate responsibility.

Miscellaneous:

  • Vance Joseph’s aggressive defensive playing style worked wonders and makes for exciting football.
  • The penalties on both the offensive and defensive sides are concerning, though hardly a surprise given that it’s preseason Week 1.
  • Three wideout sets were used almost exclusively, as predicted.
  • Zac Dysert’s touchdown pass to Thomas Duarte was probably the best example in the game of how Adam Gase’s route concepts will help red zone efficiency.
  • Offensive line struggles may only be exacerbated by constant shifting.
  • Matt Moore has earned the title of luckiest man alive after his stunning touchdown to Matt Hazel.

Check out The Deep End Miami’s new line of apparel, designed by Dolphins fans, for Dolphins fans, at thedeependmiamishop.com.

Represent your team. Don’t sacrifice style.

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Fins Fantasy: Breaking Down the Fantasy Value for Key Dolphins Players in 2016

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So, it has recently been brought to my attention by my most adamant fans* that fantasy football season is nearly upon us. Tired of all the in depth analysis and film study I’ve done over the offseason, these fans have clamored for me to resume the award-winning** work that put The Deep End Miami on the map. Being a man of the people, I have complied. So, with all of our fantasy football drafts fast approaching, there’s no better time to kick off The Deep End Miami’s fantasy football column. For our first article, I’m going to outline the potential fantasy output and draft viability of several Miami Dolphins. Because, after all, who wants to root for another team’s players anyway?

*My mom

**Our articles did not actually win any awards

Ryan Tannehill (QB):

Parker +Tanne

(Photo: Al Diaz/Miami Herald)

After posting an impressive fantasy stat line in 2014, 4,045 passing yards and 27 touchdowns to just 12 interceptions, Lauren Tannehill’s husband failed to improve in what was a very disappointing 2015. Though his numbers remained virtually the same (4,208 yards, 24 touchdowns to 12 interceptions), he was not nearly as viable as a fantasy quarterback. His rushing numbers were halved, and a fourth of his touchdowns occurred during the two game height of the Dan “Warhammer” Campbell era.

Believe it or not, I anticipate an improvement in Ryan Tannehill’s viability as a fantasy quarterback in 2016. First, the offensive line could not get any worse than it was last year, so naturally I expect some improvement in that area. Second, the wide receiver corps is vastly better than it was last season with DeVante Parker healthy and Kenny Stills not in the doghouse. Third, and most importantly, Tannehill should improve under Adam Gase’s tutelage. For God’s sake, the man made Jay Cutler into a decent fantasy QB last year. I’m not going to argue whether or not Ryan Tannehill is a franchise quarterback. In addition to being a trivial argument that pokes the proverbial bear, fantasy football is strictly a numbers game. Considering the statistics the former wide receiver has posted in the past, I’m confident he’ll be a fine QB2. Just don’t draft him as your QB1 and you’ll be solid with the man of Steel as your backup option.

Jay Ajayi (RB):

Initially, I loved this pickle juice connoisseur’s chances to produce big numbers this season. However, watching the starting offensive line struggle in the first preseason game has tempered my expectations (looking at you, Dallas Thomas). Hopefully Laremy Tunsil will be the guard starting in place of Dallas Thomas by the start of the season. Even though I’m worried about pass protection regardless of who starts at left guard, I still feel that the run blocking will be adequate. Ajayi’s diverse skill set as both a hard-nosed bruiser and a shifty receiver give him a high ceiling. Unfortunately, his documented injury issues and the stable of talented backs around him make him a pretty risky pick. The dearth of solid running back talent in the NFL will likely lead to a high draft position (probably around the 3rd-4th round) but I would not feel comfortable with taking him that early. The safer option would be to play the field and try to steal him in the late 4th-5th round as a decent RB2 with upside.

Arian Foster and Kenyan Drake (RBs):

Though Foster and Drake have very different roles and skill sets, I’m going to rope the two backup RBs for the sake of convenience. Both of these guys are backup running backs with a lot of talent. They’re also immense injury risks. Drake, a 3rd round rookie, has already suffered a hamstring injury and has not seen the field yet. Foster, a former Pro Bowler, was just activated off the PUP list and will have his first meaningful football action since tearing his Achilles last season. Needless to say, I’m not confident in either of these two to produce fantasy numbers consistently so long as Ajayi remains healthy, and even then their own injury issues are a cause for concern. Both do have high upside, especially Foster, and I think it’s reasonable to draft either of them once your starting lineup is filled. A 10th round pick or later would be good value for Foster, and a 14th/15th round flier on Drake would be appropriate.

Jarvis Landry (WR):

NFL: Miami Dolphins at Washington Redskins

(Photo: Brad Mills/USA TODAY Sports)

With Juice, you know volume is never going to be an issue. Ryan Tannehill’s safety blanket in the slot actually has the most receptions in a receiver’s first two years in NFL history. Though 100-yard games have been hard for him to come by, his steady stream of targets/receptions makes him an extremely consistent option regardless of matchup. His low YPC average of 10.5 in 2015 wasn’t even an issue considering he caught 110 of those dink and dunk type passes. He’s never going to be an Antonio Brown or Odell Beckham, and that doesn’t matter. So long as he continues what he has been doing, he’ll be a solid WR2/Flex option in standard leagues and he’ll be an incredible WR2 option in PPR formats. If you can manage to get him in the 4th round or later, you’re in good shape. Though, I would not be opposed to drafting him in the early 3rd round in PPR leagues.

DeVante Parker (WR):

DeVante Parker did not explode onto the scene until the last few weeks of the season last year due to his foot injury. But boy, was it worth waiting. DeVante Parker is the prototypical outside receiver the Dolphins had been looking for since trading Brandon Marshall in 2012. His athletic ability is among the best in the league, and his hands and route running are exemplary in their own right. Even better, from a fantasy standpoint, the numbers support that notion. In the last 6 games of the season, when he finally received playing time, he produced 445 yards and 3 TDs. If he puts up numbers of that caliber over the course of a full 2016 season, he could have 1,200 yards and 8+ TDs. Numbers like that make him an excellent WR2 and even a lower end WR1. Considering Parker’s injury history and small sample size, I encourage you to remain cautious if you intend on drafting the sophomore wide receiver. The rest of the general population has not watched Parker as closely as you or I have, instead they view him as a WR3/Flex with upside. Though he’s potentially worth a 3rd or 4th round pick, you should be able to wait until the 5th or even the 6th round.

Kenny Stills and Leonte Carroo (WRs):

Kinny

(Photo: Steve Mitchell/USA TODAY Sports)

As the presumed 3rd and 4th wide receivers on the Dolphins’ depth chart, these two talented wide receivers have some value in regard to fantasy football. Carroo looked good in his debut in the preseason, and Stills is only a year removed from being the New Orleans Saints leading wide receiver. While Stills has more value at this point in time, it’s worth noting that neither will be worth more than a late round flier in your fantasy draft. Though coaches have raved about Stills and Carroo is a 3rd round pick, there simply are not enough targets to go around to feed 3+ wide receivers consistently. If you feel highly about either of these two, a 13th-15th round flier pick could be worth it for you. Personally, I prefer Stills to Carroo, and if you want to help form your opinion on Stills in particular you can read The Deep End Miami’s in depth analysis on him here.

Jordan Cameron (TE):

Jordan Cameron was once a Pro Bowl tight end. The numbers have shown that those days are behind him. Injuries have seemed to take their toll, which led to a very disappointing 2015 (386 yards and 3TDs). I can’t totally rule out a turnaround based on the Adam Gase effect, but wait for some evidence on the field before drafting him. A 15th round flier pick is probably his best-case scenario as far as value is concerned.

Miami Dolphins (DEF/ST):

Defenses in fantasy football, even good ones, tend to be rather inconsistent. Production really is determined by the offense that’s being played against. Last year, I picked up the only exception to that rule, the Denver Broncos defense, before Week 1 and rolled with them every week. But typically, I tend to pick up a new defense every week based on the matchup. The Dolphins’ aggressive play-style under Vance Joseph is going to be inconsistent, but expect them to feast on inferior competition. The addition of Jakeem Grant as a returner adds to that narrative. Your best bet is to draft the best defense available, and just scour the waiver wire every week to find the best matchups until your inevitable Super Bowl victory.

 


Dress Rehearsal: Which Dolphins Need to Shine in the All-Important Third Preseason Game?

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Last week’s paltry 41-14 romping at the hands of the Dallas Cowboys was undoubtedly a setback after a relatively strong preseason Week 1 performance. Though Ryan Tannehill and the starting offense turned in a strong performance, the defense failed at just about every level for the entirety of the game. The fault did not simply lie in one player or position group, and it’s imperative that we see signs of improvement during this week’s matchup against the Atlanta Falcons. The third week of preseason tends to have the most starter participation until the regular season starts and should be the best indicator of what the Miami Dolphins are capable of. Good performances by the team and its marquis players should yield an increase in confidence and morale. On the other hand if the team falls flat, well let’s just say it would not bring forth rainbows and butterflies. One thing is for sure, the heat is on for a number of players to show marked improvement.

The Offense:

Ryan Tannehill:

Tanne

(Photo: Michael Ainsworth/AP)

Fair or not, Ryan Tannehill is going to need to play lights out on Thursday. He had a very strong performance against the Cowboys last week and seemed to have developed a rapport with Kenny Stills that we hadn’t seen last season. To be honest, he was almost perfect during the few series he played, and when the offensive line gives him more than the customary negative 2 seconds, I think he can make some plays. If he continues to hit the deep ball to Stills and continues to build on his chemistry with Landry and Parker, Tannehill could develop into one of the most exciting quarterbacks in the league to watch.

The Backup Quarterbacks:

Contrary to their Week 1 performance, the backup quarterbacks looked downright lost against the Cowboys last week. If the Dolphins are going to continue any momentum that their starters begin against the Falcons, their backup passers are going to need to carry their weight. The Dolphins’ loaded receiver corps can only do its job if the quarterbacks do theirs. A bad performance can easily compromise Doughty’s, Dysert’s, or even Moore’s spot in the pecking order.

Arian Foster and Jay Ajayi:

Foster sad

(Photo: Michael Ainsworth/AP)

So far this preseason, the best running back on the roster appears to be Isaiah Pead. Yeah, that’s not good. Ajayi has averaged barely over 3 yards per carry over the last two games while Foster managed -5 yards on two carries last week. Needless to say, there needs to be serious improvement fromboth running backs if the team is to have any confidence in their running game going forward. It’s expected that the two will split snaps equally this week and it seems as though they are neck and neck for the starting job. If neither Ajayi nor Foster can separate themselves and turn in a good performance this week, we may be looking at one of the worst running back situations in the NFL.

The Offensive Line:

Outside of Laremy Tunsil and Mike Pouncey, the offensive line has been well below average over the last two games. Regardless of Dallas Thomas being pulled from the starting lineup, the line still struggled mightily in both pass protection and in establishing the run. Jermon Bushrod, a career tackle playing guard, struggled to adjust to his new position. Branden Albert has been beat badly by some of the more athletic defensive ends, including Olivier Vernon, two weeks ago. Ja’wuan James has been mediocre in his right tackle position and has committed more penalties than he should. To make matters worse, Pouncey was injured last week and is not expected to be available on Thursday. While Tannehill can play without the assistance of the offensive line in spurts, it would be impossible for him to maintain a high level of play for much longer than a series or two.

The Defense:

Byron Maxwell:

Maxwell Burned 2

(Photo: Ron Jenkins/AP)

As the number one cornerback on the Dolphins’ depth chart, Maxwell is expected to at least slow down the opponent’s best receiver. He did not do that last week. Dez Bryant routinely embarrassed the former Philadelphia Eagle when they were matched up against each other. Vance Joseph’s aggressive system will put Maxwell in a position to make plays, but it is apparent that he lacks the athleticism to guard top receiver talent in a one-on-one contest. This week Maxwell will be tasked with going up against Julio Jones, who annihilated him in their matchup last year. If Maxwell holds his own and slows down Jones, it would be considered a major victory. If Maxwell actually bests the ultra-talented wideout, well we may have ourselves a cornerback.

Kiko Alonso:

Alonso has been nothing but a disappointment thus far into his tenure in South Beach. He has looked lost in the middle of the defense and seems to be afraid of tackling ball carriers. He’s had several badly missed tackles and hasn’t made plays in coverage either. At this point it’s fair to wonder whether or not he will recapture pre-injury form. If he personally does not improve as the starting linebacker this week, it is unclear if he will be a viable option past this season. The problem remains though; there doesn’t seem to be anyone capable of replacing him.

The Linebacker Corps:

While Kiko Alonso has failed to meet expectations as a starting NFL linebacker, he is hardly the only one on the team. Regardless of his athleticism, Jelani Jenkins struggled mightily making reads and did not efficiently finish his tackles. Koa Misi does not seem to be capable in coverage and has not shown any indication that he should be part of the starting unit. Spencer Paysinger also struggled in all these areas. Considering they’ll be facing off against Matt Ryan, Julio Jones and Devonta Freeman this week, it’s almost guaranteed that we will be saying the exact same thing next week. Hopefully they sure up their tackling, because otherwise the Falcons will have an easy time controlling the pace of the game. Either way, I expect the linebackers to be Miami’s primary defensive weakness throughout the season. Even if they improve, it is unlikely that this specific unit will be anything more than mediocre.

 



Tempo is Key: Why Miami Needs to Employ the No-Huddle More Frequently

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Out of the ashes of yet another disappointing Miami Dolphins defeat in New England has risen a legitimate silver lining. Adam Gase’s offense performed extremely well in the second half as the team went with the no-huddle approach down 31-3. While the end result remained a loss, Ryan Tannehill was able to command the offense to the tune of 21 unanswered points. The Miami Dolphins’ quarterback even completed 20/21 passes in one particular stretch of impressive play. So, what changed in Miami’s offensive gameplan to allow such a significant shift? Well, Greg, the answer lies entirely in the no-huddle offense.

 1. Historically, Gase’s offense thrives in the no-huddle:

Over the last several years, Adam Gase has used the short-passing game as the bread and butter of his offenses. He has adopted Peyton Manning’s penchant for running a fast-paced quick-read offense. However, Gase didn’t just ride Manning’s coattails to get where he is right now. In their time together in Denver, Gase added innovative route concepts that allowed Manning to have 2 of his 3 best statistical seasons of his Broncos career. While Gase is obviously missing the caliber of talent he had in 2013 with the record breaking Denver Broncos offense, I’m going to use that team as my primary example:

J Thomas and P Man.gif

On this play, Demaryius Thomas is the quick read on a slant route while Julius Thomas goes deep. Rather than staying close to Julius Thomas, the linebacker elects to help the cornerback neutralize Demaryius Thomas on the short route. However, because the safety was deep, there was a solid 5 yard window for Peyton Manning to work with. And the result of the play is a 44 yard gain on a 1st and 20.

From there, Gase and Manning seize the opportunity and switch to the no-huddle:

Part 2.gif

The safety is poorly positioned and Julius Thomas has no issue embarrassing the linebacker in coverage. Yeah, I think it’s safe to say that the Broncos offense caught the Baltimore Ravens defense with its pants down.

Ultimately what makes Adam Gase’s system work is the ability to fool players and coordinators alike with his playbook and innovative route designs. The no-huddle offense only makes it more difficult for defenses to figure out what the offense is going to do. The offense develops the ability to build on momentum as defensive players have no time to substitute and defensive coordinators don’t have enough time to properly respond to the previous play. As long as passes are being completed, Adam Gase’s offenses are at their best when the game is at its fastest.

2. Masking deficiencies in the run game:

If you are a fan of old-school dominant running games, odds are that you were nauseous all day on Sunday. Arian Foster went down with an injury early in the game after compiling just 9 yards on 3 carries. Jay Ajayi was mediocre at best as Arian Foster’s replacement, gaining a measly 14 yards on 5 carries, while fumbling on a pivotal drive early in the game. Kenyan Drake played well in his limited debut, logging his first career touchdown, but only had two carries. The matchup against Seattle in Week 1 wasn’t much better for the running back unit as they compiled just 47 yards on 15 carries. Considering that Arian Foster is already nursing an injury, Jay Ajayi is in the coaches’ doghouse and Kenyan Drake is a rookie with two NFL carries to his name, I’m not convinced that improvement is imminent.

Luckily, the no-huddle offense can mask the deficiencies that the Dolphins have at the running back position. Quick-read short routes like slants, drags,and screens can move the chains as well as rushing can, provided that the passes are being completed. It doesn’t take a genius to know that a five yard gain on a quick slant is better than a three yard. Bill Belichick observes this concept better than any other coach: If the run game isn’t working, he passes and vice versa. That’s why he has 4 Super Bowl rings with a system quarterback. Considering that DeVante Parker and Jarvis Landry play well when catching passes in tight windows, and Ryan Tannehill has exceptional short pass accuracy, I think it’s pretty reasonable to follow suit.

After all, this…

No huddle pass.gif

…is a lot better than this:

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3. Tannehill is improving with added control at the line:

Love him or hate him, Ryan Tannehill will play his best football with control at the line of scrimmage. Joe Philbin held Tannehill back, and ensured that Tannehill was always bringing a spoon to a gunfight. Now, under Gase’s tutelage, Tannehill seems to be developing the confidence and poise to run the offense. It takes a special quarterback to direct an offense at the line of scrimmage, and even more so to run the no-huddle offense. Based on Ryan Tannehill’s statistics from the first half (10/18 116 yards and an interception) to the second half (22/27, 271 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception) it’s pretty clear that he knows what he’s doing when he has control. He spread the ball around very well, and mixed in some beautiful deep passes to go along with the death-by-a-thousand-paper-cuts approach. For his most impressive stretch he completed 20/21 passes, including 14 straight.

One need only look at some of his plays that came about while running the no-huddle:

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Like this play to DeVante Parker.

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Or this touchdown to Kenny Stills.

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Or this beauty to Jarvis Landry.

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Yeah. Even Jordan Cameron can look good when the Dolphins run the no-huddle.

 


Dolphins Dichotomy: Film Review of the Best & Worst Plays From Browns vs. Dolphins

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The Miami Dolphins faced the Cleveland Browns at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday afternoon. With a final score of 30-24, the Dolphins move to 0-2-0-1 on the season.

Oh, if you didn’t hear, I invented a new column for “wins” like that. You know, the ones that aren’t really wins. 

After the Dolphins’ underwhelming performance against the Cleveland Browns, we once again learned several areas in which the team needs to improve and some in which they are actually making progress.

In this breakdown, we discuss the good, the bad and often the very ugly from Miami’s Week 3 matchup.

Best Plays: 

Byron Maxwell Shows Signs of Life: 

Through the first two weeks of 2016, Byron Maxwell was victimized. Rather than attacking a rookie corner starting his first and second games, offenses elected to go after Maxwell, finding success when they did.

However, in Sunday’s game Byron Maxwell played well. While the statistics might show that Terrelle Pryor had a big day, there were still plenty of moments in which you saw Maxwell perform at a higher level than he previously has in coverage. Maxwell was able to break up several key plays and for the most part avoided the combination of mental errors and physical mistakes that led to easy completions for opposing offenses.

Late in the game we saw Byron Maxwell correct an issue with cushioning receivers and actually succeed because of it.

What Happens When You Make Kessler Beat You Deep.gif

Maxwell jams Pryor at the line and is able to make a good play on the football to break up the slant.

Later, Maxwell was able to hold coverage over the middle of the field on an in-breaking route, which he struggled to cover in Weeks 1 and 2.

Big Play by Byron Maxwell.gif

Not only does he put himself in a good position to disrupt the pass, but he also is able to use his hands to disrupt the ball.

Big Play by Maxwell Angle 2.gif

Earlier in the game, he was able to shadow Terrelle Pryor perfectly deep, making an athletic play on the ball without drawing a pass interference call.

One of the reasons that Maxwell succeeded was because the area of the field you need to worry about defensively against Cody Kessler is so small. Teams will be willing to let Kessler try to beat them deep because of his struggles with the deep ball. So, Maxwell was able to play the underneath routes with regularity.

He was able to stick with Terrelle Pryor deep because he didn’t have to worry so much about being burnt with precision routes. Think of Pryor in terms of DeVante Parker, who Dolphins fans know isn’t an elite route runner. Maxwell just had to make sure he physically got between Pryor and the ball.

As a whole, this was a step in the right direction for Maxwell, but his improvement probably won’t carry over into a TNF showdown with A.J. Green.

Cameron Wake Obliterates Cody Kessler: 

Cameron Wake’s ability to perform on passing downs has to be one of the most welcomed storylines thus far from the Dolphins’ season.

Early on against the Browns, Wake was able to force a turnover that gave the Dolphins the ball back following Ryan Tannehill’s opening-drive interception.

Cam Wake Sack.gif

Explaining how impressive this play is, given the injury Wake suffered less than a year ago, requires an examination of three key elements:

First – his get-off at the line of scrimmage.

Second – his ability to continue to bend and slip by blockers. This was something I was concerned about following the injury, but he is showing that his ability when asked to go low has not declined.

The third element is his ability to maintain speed and explode off of the blocker when he slips through.

Wake Sack Angle 2.gif

Watching Cameron Wake make plays like this less than a year removed from tearing his Achilles is not surprising. It’s just awesome.

Tannehill Hits DeVante Parker for Six:

Most Dolphins fans have accepted that 2016 is not going to be the year of DeVante Parker. However, that doesn’t mean he can’t show the team that he is on his way to living up to the expectations attached with being the 14th overall pick in the draft.

On Sunday, Parker was able to make a play that can help build coaches’ confidence in his ability to do what he needs to do in order to succeed: make plays using his frame.

Tannehill to DVP TD.gif

This isn’t such a great catch for DeVante Parker. However, it is an example of things trending in the right direction in regards to the coaching staff’s faith in the young receiver. Whether or not he lives up to the hype he garnered entering 2016, he is still an asset they surely want to utilize.

The Browns line up with one safety high over the side of the field that Parker and Landry line up on. The touchdown is made possible when the safety elects to assist in coverage of Jarvis Landry.

Tannehill to DVP Coaches Film TD.gif

The Browns are overly concerned with covering Jarvis Landry, and the safety makes a poor decision by allocating himself as the fourth man covering him. However, it is an error Ryan Tannehill is more than happy to exploit. Immediately once the safety breaks on Landry, Tannehill puts it up for Parker.

The combination of routes is designed to make Landry an option underneath, or to have Parker as the target in the end zone. Either way, the route’s inward break meant that Parker would be able to position himself in front of the corner. With his size and length, DeVante Parker puts the corner in an impossible position.

Good recognition from Tannehill. Good design by Gase. Good catch by Parker.

Overtime Play to Landry Sets Up Game-Winner:

The Cleveland Browns entered Sunday’s game daring the Miami Dolphins to run the ball. They sat back in zone coverage and wanted to make Miami beat them on the ground.

That mentality is part of what contributed to the Dolphins’ conversion on a key play in overtime which set up Jay Ajayi’s touchdown run.

First Play in OT, Fooled Defense, Jamar Taylor Bit.gif

The play action here doesn’t fool the front seven at all. The left side protection collapses in front of Tannehill leaving free rushers with an open shot. However, the play action did fool Jamar Taylor.

Jamar Taylor Bites on Play Action Angle 2.gif

Jamar Taylor focuses down on the run, leaving Jarvis Landry with an opportunity to get open.

This is a perfect example of trapping a defense based on play-calling. The entire strategy for Cleveland defensively is to hope that the Dolphins go to the ground with extra resources allocated in the Browns’ secondary. The Dolphins knew this, and were able to convince the Browns on this play that their defensive strategy was dictating the offense.

Adam Gase was able to call a play that took advantage of a perceived strength in the Browns’ strategy. While the Jay Ajayi run technically won the game for the Dolphins, this play was just as important to convert and put them in position to score.

Dolphins Go No-Huddle in the Third Quarter: 

This is your weekly public service announcement that the Dolphins’ offense has worked very well in the no-huddle.

In the third quarter, the Dolphins had strong stretches in this attack, recognizing a defensive look and turning it into two first down conversions.

Q3 No Huddle 1 - set tone with Landry as in line blocker.gif

On the first play, the Dolphins net almost no gain on a run. However, they continue to reinforce the Browns’ mentality that they are forcing the Dolphins into calling ground plays, trapping the Browns in a run stopping personnel group.

The Dolphins exploit this on the second play.

Q3 No Huddle 2 - LBs not ready for Landry, hits soft spot.gif

Tannehill finds Jarvis Landry, who was covered by one DB and a linebacker, which is not a recipe for defensive success when defending Landry over the middle.

On the third play, Tannehill knows two things. First, that he’ll likely face the same combination of players covering Landry. Second, that he will have more time as the pass rush grows fatigued.

Q3 No Huddle 3 - Jarvis Landry Does the rest.gif

Tannehill is able to hang in thanks to excellent protection and hit Jarvis Landry on another crossing route. Landry gained separation thanks to the time Tannehill had in the pocket due to the reduction in pass rush.

Throughout three weeks we have seen several occasions on which the benefits of the no-huddle spell success for the Dolphins, leading to big conversions on sustained drives.

Kenyan Drake Channels Arian Foster:

Some believe that you can teach a running back how to properly identify a lane for cutbacks. While I believe that you can teach this to a point, ball carriers either have the proper instinct to excel in this area or they don’t. Improvements can be made, but true excellence is either there or it isn’t.

Kenyan Drake showed at least once on Sunday that he is able to properly identify a cutback, demonstrating good feel and patience.

Kenyan Drake Run - Good Cut.gif

On this play, Drake sees a lane developing up the middle. He is able to wait then burst inside for a first down.

Kenyan Drake Run - Good Cut Angle 2.gif

From the coaches’ film, you are able to see the patience that Kenyan Drake exhibits. Many running backs get nervous slowing their feet in open areas, especially near the line. However, Drake waits for the middle of the field to open up before using his explosiveness to cut inside.

The Dolphins’ running back approach on Sunday was not by committee. It was by the masses. I believe that for the team to have success on the ground, they will need to establish at least two primary ball carriers. Establishing a consistent attack from the running back position requires rhythm, which is easier to get with 2-3 backs splitting carries rather than 4-5.

When Arian Foster is healthy, I expect him and Kenyan Drake to be the primary recipients of touches at the position.

Reshad Jones Becomes the MVP:

Currently, Reshad Jones is the player on defense that the Miami Dolphins can least afford to lose. Not only is he the team’s best defensive back, but he is also their best linebacker.

While his impact is not always evident in the stat sheet (even though he usually still puts up a ridiculous line), he shows up everywhere on the film.

Another Example of Reshad Literally Making it All Happen.gif

Here, Reshad Jones is not fooled by the misdirection, and he is the only player with the physical ability to close fast enough on the runner approaching the edge. Instead of trying to make the big play, Jones makes the smart play. He takes away the sideline from Andrew Hawkins, who would have been able to use that route to escape the defense with ease.

Jones then is able to cut back in and actually make the tackle on the play.

On some plays, Reshad Jones does earn a place on the highlight reel.

Reshad Great Again.gif

I don’t think many would argue that he is the Dolphins’ best option coming off of the edge outside of defensive linemen. He has the acceleration and vision to quickly find routes to the ball carrier.

In addition to being the Dolphins’ best linebacker off of the edge, he would be the team’s best option as a tackler.

Reshad Great Play - Chases Pryor.gif

Terrelle Pryor is not an easy man to bring down. Reshad Jones makes it look like it’s no problem at all.

Jones is one of the most entertaining players in the NFL to watch play defense. For the same reason that NBA fans are excited to watch Russell Westbrook dominate singlehandedly for the Oklahoma City Thunder, Dolphins fans should at least take solace in being able to watch Reshad Jones become a one-man wrecking crew defensively in South Florida.

Worst Plays:

Ryan Tannehill’s Turnovers:

During the Dolphins’ game against the Browns, Ryan Tannehill was the cause of three turnovers that jeopardized the Dolphins’ chances of victory.

The most forgivable was actually his pick six.

Tannehill Pick 6.gif

Pressure coming in off of the right side allows the defender to hit Tannehill’s arm on the release. However, he did the exact same thing last week against New England, throwing an INT to Jamie Collins. Ryan Tannehill needs to have a better feel in the pocket and understand that he must either use his feet to find a new space to throw or simply dump it down before pressure crashes in.

The next turnover, and the most dangerous to the game’s outcome, was his fumble on the team’s final attempt to prevent an overtime period.

Tannehill Fumble - Awful Situational Awareness.gif

In this situation, a quarterback needs to be aware that a sack is better than a fumble. When you are on your own 35-yard line with the game tied in the waning moments, taking the sack and heading to OT is the smartest play. If something is wide open, then sure, go ahead. However, it is unforgivable to try to make anything out of the play here when he knows that any error could directly cost them the game.

Had the Dolphins been playing any other NFL team, this would’ve been a loss due to that fumble. However, the Browns can always lose themselves a game. It’s a gift for them.

The most bone-headed, but least impactful, turnover of Tannehill’s was the early interception to Jamar Taylor.

Jamar Taylor INT.gif

There is just no explanation for this. The play was never there, and there is absolutely no reason to attempt that throw. I would call it a rookie mistake, but we’re past the point of Tannehill being able to make those errors.

While I have not given up on Ryan Tannehill, as those mistakes happen to any NFL quarterback occasionally, he needs to have those errors occur MUCH less frequently.

Jason Jones is Sent Into Coverage:

Yes, you read that right.

At one point on Sunday, Vance Joseph elected to shift defensive end Jason Jones into coverage in an area that Terrelle Pryor was coming across out of the slot.

Awful Play - Jason Jones in Covg.gif

I don’t know where to start with this. Reshad Jones is working on the running back out of the backfield, leaving Jason Jones as essentially the sole man on Pryor.

Awful Play Angle 2 - Jason Jones in Covg.gif

The Dolphins do not have linebackers that can cover, let alone defensive ends who will help stop opposing passing attacks. Why would the team even feel the need to blitz the linebackers? They have been completely ineffective rushing the passer at this point. The linebackers have been bad in coverage, but it seems obvious that defensive ends would be even worse.

I could not begin to explain the logic on this type of play, but it appears to be the most misguided approach taken by Vance Joseph during the team’s game against Cleveland. Hopefully that is the last time Jason Jones is given a task in coverage this season.

Terrelle Pryor’s Game-Tying TD:

The Miami Dolphins seemed to be completely unprepared for Terrelle Pryor out of the wildcat in this game.

The Browns exploited the Dolphins’ defense on the final play of their game-tying touchdown drive that would eventually force the Dolphins into overtime.

Awful Play - Kiko cant cover edge, and Dolphins shouldve prepped for this.gif

Kiko Alonso is the worst offender here. He does not have the quickness to cover Pryor heading to the pylon with a good angle, let alone when he approaches as he did on this play.

The next question is why did the Dolphins not have Reshad Jones working as a spy on Pryor? He demonstrated throughout the day that he is the only player with the ability to chase down the Browns’ dynamic hybrid player. It seems that the best option would have been to have Jones shadowing Pryor, especially here on the goal line.

This calls into question how prepared the Dolphins truly were for Terrelle Pryor at quarterback, something they should have known was a not-so strange possibility.

Jelani Jenkins Embarrasses Himself:

I was a well-documented fan of Jelani Jenkins heading into the 2015 season. At times, he made me look good for touting him as a potential contributor. At times, he didn’t.

This season, he has made my previous excitement over his development seem even more ridiculous, becoming an actual liability on the field for the Dolphins.

After one awful play, the team seemingly had enough.

Awful Play Jelani.gif

When your defensive coordinator makes the right playcall and a player displays that type of tackling technique (especially on 3rd & 1 when you are in need of a big stop), it’s reasonable to expect that the player won’t be in the starting lineup for long.

Well, the Dolphins gave Neville Hewitt a shot given the magnitude of Jenkins’ struggles throughout this season. At times, it really worked.

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Hewitt Second Good Play - Angle 2.gif

Here, Neville Hewitt shows that he is capable of tackling an offensive player. For the Dolphins’ linebackers, this is improvement.

So, the whiff Jelani Jenkins laid earlier on 3rd & 1 could be a good thing if Neville Hewitt is able to perform, as we can reasonably expect to see him get more reps. However, it’s an incredibly embarrassing moment for Jenkins, who is showing himself to be another player who the Dolphins cannot rely on to start for them moving forward.

(Please continue to keep an eye out, as almost every remaining play features some mishap of Jenkins’ in coverage or run support.)

Dolphins Fooled by Misdirection Again: 

The Miami Dolphins struggled with misdirections against the Patriots. Against the Browns, they were fooled again.

Bad Play - TE Open Again.gif

How many times will the Dolphins be tricked by a misdirection into letting the tight end open for easy completions? Yes, it has only been three weeks for defensive coordinator Vance Joseph, but at this point if the same play is giving you trouble for three consecutive weeks you would have to hope that it gets fixed soon.

Bad Play - TE Open (Coaches Film) Dolphins always fooled by misdirections so badly.gif

Here it is easy to see that this is another embarrassing play for Jelani Jenkins, who could be the most oft-victimized player on the Dolphins’ defense thus far this season. However, this was a failure by the entire defense, which bit awfully on the fake.

The Dolphins will need to work out these issues, especially considering the offense they are facing on Thursday night features arguably the NFL’s most dynamic RB duo, providing a huge threat on play action.

Linebackers Don’t Diversify Their Approaches: 

The Dolphins have been easily taken advantage of in short yardage situations. Frequently, it seems to be because there isn’t even a defender in the area. Part of what contributes to that is the pursuit taken by the team’s linebackers.

Linebackers Need to Spread Pursuit (Why all bunched?).gif

The Dolphins’ problem becomes clear on this play. The running back, while heading to the right, can still cut back or bounce outside. Why then do the Dolphins’ linebackers all attack within the same five-yard radius?

Not a single player in the group accounts for the outside as an option, leading to one of the easiest first down pickups you’ll see for an NFL running back.

Bad Play - LBs Bunched Up Angle 2 (highlights how bad Jelani is too).gif

(As a side-note, this play once again highlights Jelani Jenkins’ struggles. He seems to consistently engage unnecessarily with blockers.)

The Dolphins’ linebackers, based on their tendency to all approach in the same direction, are performing worse than most would have expected heading into the season, which is hard to believe because of how low expectations actually were.

Whether it’s scheming, personnel, or (more likely) both, the Dolphins desperately need to make a change at the position.

The Skinny: 

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(Jim Rassol/Sun Sentinel)

The Miami Dolphins face a tough task on Thursday night, heading to Cincinnati to take on the Bengals. While the Dolphins did notch their first win of the season against the Browns, most would agree that it wasn’t the feel-good affair most expected it to be.

While there were some positives to take away from Sunday’s game, it was not the type of performance you want to see from a team that many expected to cruise to a win following close games against the Patriots and Seahawks.

However, this early in a coaching tenure, a huge emphasis has to be placed on learning. Not only does Gase learn from each week, but fans also learn watching him adjust and develop this team. While the Dolphins are on a short week, it will be interesting to see how many improvements the team can incorporate as they prepare to take on the Bengals on Thursday Night Football.


Primed for Fireworks: Stats, Predictions and Keys to Victory for Steelers vs. Dolphins

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The Narrative:

Through five weeks, there have been few teams as impressive as the Pittsburgh Steelers and few teams as embarrassingly disappointing as the Miami Dolphins. That makes this AFC battle a potential nightmare for fans of the home team as they face off in Hard Rock Stadium.

The Steelers are 4-1, with their one blemish coming in an outlier performance against the surprising Philadelphia Eagles. The Dolphins, meanwhile, are on the opposite end of the spectrum at 1-4, with their only “bright spot” coming in an unbelievably underwhelming win against the Cleveland Browns. No one expects Miami to make the playoffs, but they still desperately need to improve. It is actually quite difficult to imagine a scenario in which the Dolphins manage to execute worse than they have over the past three weeks.

Pittsburgh, on the other hand, is now widely seen as a Super Bowl contender. Led by a virtually unstoppable offense, and a talented but shorthanded defense, the Steelers could very well be the Patriots’ most threatening competition in the AFC at this point in the season. For these reasons, Pittsburgh enters Week 6 with huge expectations, while the Dolphins are on their heels and simply looking for some momentum heading into a division rivalry game prior to their bye week.

Stats:

Since Le’Veon Bell’s return, Pittsburgh has averaged 445 total yards per game and 37 points per game. These are staggering numbers, albeit over a small sample size. The “Killer B’s,” Ben, Brown and Bell, are simply too much for most defenses to handle. That doesn’t fare well for Miami, who ranks 32nd in run defense and 29th in total defense through five games.

The Steelers hold a sizable advantage over most teams on third downs, and that will be no different against the Dolphins. Pittsburgh converts on third downs 49.2% of the time, the second best percentage in the league. While on defense, they rank fifth, just ahead of Miami, in terms of percentage of third down conversions allowed.

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(Justin K. Aller – Getty Images)

The Dolphins rank dead last in terms of time of possession, indicative of their inability to neither establish a balanced offense nor force turnovers. The Steelers are significantly better in this regard as well, ranking 15th in the NFL. This would likely be a much higher rank if not for their elite big play differential (big plays for – big plays against,) as this both limits their time of possession and lengthens the opponents at times.

Additionally, Miami has mostly failed in terms of turnover differential as well. At -7, the Dolphins are tied for the second worst differential in the league. With a differential of 0, the Steelers are right at the league average. The Dolphins not only turn the ball over at a high rate, but also fail to tally takeaways as well. This could set them up for failure as they face Pittsburgh’s high-powered offense.

Overall, each of these stats suggests that the Steelers hold multiple advantages in this matchup and could play a vital role in deciding the outcome.

Keys to Victory:

Jarvis Landry:

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(Mike Ehrmann – Getty Images)

It’s a scary thought considering their performance thus far, but if Miami is going to be competitive in this game, they’re going to have to put up points. That starts with getting their best offensive player the ball.

Jarvis Landry received only three targets against Tennessee, and converted those limited opportunities into 28 yards. Of course, Ryan Tannehill only threw the ball 18 total times. Miami’s horrific performance in terms of time of possession has been a common theme in 2016 and was no different in Week 5. This gave Miami absolutely no way of getting into a rhythm, and Landry few chances of making an impact on this game.

The Steelers’ secondary is talented, but young and largely unproven. This is exactly the type of game that Gase would thrive in as an offensive coordinator, but he hasn’t had the same success so far in Miami. Landry will likely face off against rookie defensive back Sean Davis, giving Gase a prime one-on-one matchup to potentially take advantage of.

Forcing Big Ben into Mistakes:

Ben Roethlisberger is a monster, and few would have the audacity to suggest otherwise. Over his past two games, Big Ben has totaled 680 yards, 9 touchdowns and no interceptions. However, he has historically been much better at home than on the road. Just this season, Roethlisberger has the same amount of interceptions on the road as he does in Pittsburgh, but in 30 less attempts.

Miami has failed to intercept passes all season. They simply don’t have the necessary personnel in the defensive backfield outside of Reshad Jones. Vance Joseph hoped that the defensive line would be dominant, consistently attacking and applying pressure, while forcing quarterbacks into making mistakes. That vision has largely failed to materialize; perhaps due to the sheer amount of time the defense has been on the field.

It is unlikely that the Dolphins’ defense manages to completely shut down the Steelers’ offense, but forcing a couple of turnovers from Big Ben could at least get the home crowd into it.

Covering Le’Veon Bell:

Bell is the most complete back in the league. His combination of vision, patience, power and acceleration is unlike any other skillset in the NFL. That makes him nearly impossible to limit on the ground. However, the Jets found a way to at least slow him down, to the tune of 66 rushing yards on 20 carries. So how did he still manage to be an x-factor?

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Many of Bell’s skills suit him well as a receiver. That led to him totaling 88 receiving yards on 9 catches against New York. He has fantastic hands and is a better route runner than many wide receivers around the league. While Joseph aims to protect against the deep ball from Antonio Brown and Sammie Coates, it is quite possible that Bell tears up the middle of the field just as he did against the Jets. This in addition to all of the damage he does on the ground.

Reshad Jones will play an obvious role in attempting to contain all of Pittsburgh’s playmakers, but this may ultimately come down to Kiko Alonso. Alonso has been solid for Miami, ranking third in the league in tackles. Yet his declining athleticism is extremely noticeable, and he faces an upward battle if he is tasked with covering Bell in man coverage.

Ryan Tannehill’s Pocket Awareness:

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(Richard Graulich – The Palm Beach Post)

The Dolphins’ offensive line is in flux right now. They gave up six sacks against the Titans. Tannehill was hit eight times and threw two interceptions under pressure. Billy Turner, Jamil Douglas and Dallas Thomas were all released this week. In other words, life hasn’t been easy on Miami’s quarterback.

Nonetheless, he is partially at fault. Much was made of Tannehill’s subpar pocket presence throughout the offseason, and Gase was supposed to help fix that. Instead, Tannehill looked more lost than ever before. He has trouble feeling pressure, moving in the pocket and going through his progressions, especially when the pocket is closing around him. He still doesn’t know when to hold onto the ball and when to get rid of it. His pocket awareness is, in short, exactly what we thought it was, and it’s simply being magnified by the horrendous performance of the offensive line.

Pittsburgh has struggled to pressure the quarterback ever since James Harrison’s prime, and while he is still with the team, he is a shell of his former dominant self. The Steelers lack depth at outside linebacker and will be without their best defender, defensive end Cameron Heyward, against the Dolphins. If we see the offensive line and Tannehill struggle in this one like they did against the Titans, Gase’s premier season may be beyond repair.

Staff Predictions:

Ryan Romaine:

As a Steelers fan, seeing this amount to anything closer than a three-possession game would be a major disappointment. Pittsburgh and Miami’s offenses are polar opposites right now. Miami doesn’t have a linebacker that can stick with Bell as a receiver nor cornerbacks that can limit Brown and Coates on the outside (few teams do). To make matters worse, Jesse James is a huge target and could be the latest tight end to take advantage of the middle of the field against the Dolphins. This should be a blowout in Hard Rock Stadium.

34-13, Steelers

Jacob Berkowitz:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have one of the best offenses in football. The Miami Dolphins have one of the worst…well…everything in football. Even if the offense gets it together this week after Adam Gase axed half the offensive line, there isn’t a shot they can keep pace with Big Ben’s high-octane unit.

35-20, Steelers

Max Himmelrich:

It’s not hard to figure out how this game could get really ugly for the Dolphins. It isn’t hard to imagine the combo of Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown producing at least 300 yards combined. This should be an easy win for the Steelers.

42-20, Steelers


Winners & Losers: Seven Dolphins Players Significantly Affected by the 2016 Draft

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The NFL Draft is the premiere medium for football teams to accrue new and exciting talent. A “good draft” can make or break an organization’s fortunes as they try to find the future superstars of the sport. However, the influx of low-cost talent doesn’t necessarily impact all parties positively. Veteran players are often cast away or relegated to a lesser role in order to make way for their younger counterparts. Conversely, many veteran players benefit immensely from the new blood coming in to fill glaring roster holes and provide healthy competition at other positions. The Miami Dolphins’ veteran players are certainly not exempt from this rule, and we’re sure to have a better idea of who’s benefiting in the coming weeks now that training camp is officially underway. In the meantime, here are both the players that we believe benefited from the team’s draft class and the players that may have suffered.

Benefited: Jay Ajayi

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(Photo: Allen Eyestone/The Palm Beach Post)

When the Dolphins selected Kenyan Drake in the third round, their confidence in Jay Ajayi instantly became clear. Many analysts believed that the team would draft an all-purpose running back who would push Ajayi as the starter, but they opted for scatback Kenyan Drake instead. Drake’s skillset is a perfect complement to Ajayi’s, and it seems as though Drake will assume a third-down/receiving role behind Ajayi on the depth chart. The team’s lack of alternate between-the-tackles competition is enough to pencil in Ajayi as the team’s presumptive starter. However, this is not the only reason that the fifth round pick out of Boise State looks like the team’s starter ahead of this season. He showed some promise in limited snaps behind Lamar Miller last season, and it has even since been rumored that the coaching staff under Dan Campbell preferred Ajayi to Miller down the stretch. Unfortunately, the young talent was limited by broken ribs and lingering issues with his elbow and shoulder. Had Ajayi not been in and out of the trainers’ room throughout last season, we may have seen what he could do in a featured role much sooner.

Suffered: Kenny Stills

With their early third round pick of Kenyan Drake, the Dolphins showed the utmost confidence in Jay Ajayi. Their selection of Leonte Carroo just a few picks later was a mirror image for their lack of confidence in Kenny Stills. Make no mistake, Stills remains the presumptive 3rd receiver in Adam Gase’s offense and he should still see his fair share of snaps this upcoming season. However, the decision to use another third round pick on a wide receiver is indicative that the new coaching staff is not totally convinced that Stills is their guy. Since the organization traded a third round pick and Dannell Ellerbe to the New Orleans Saints in exchange for Kenny Stills, there has been quite a bit of chicanery going on in Miami’s wide receiver room. First, the team drafted DeVante Parker to assume the starting role opposite Jarvis Landry. Then, Joe Philbin’s staff buried Kenny Stills on the depth chart below Rishard Matthews and Greg Jennings. While Stills’ sheer talent and Dan Campbell’s competence led to more playing time late in the season, the new staff’s decision to draft Carroo should be concerning to Stills enthusiasts. Kenny Stills will most likely be pushed for playing time and may even lose his role if Leonte Carroo impresses.

Benefited: Ryan Tannehill

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When Laremy Tunsil fell to the Dolphins with the 13th overall pick, I imagine that nobody was more thrilled than Ryan Tannehill. The 5th year quarterback has been cursed with an offensive line that has been inconsistent at best and an absolute dumpster fire at worst since he won the starting job in 2011. Pro Bowlers Branden Albert and Mike Pouncey are often injured, and the team’s lack of offensive line depth has allowed Tannehill to be sacked more than any other quarterback in the NFL over the past three seasons. Bringing in a top-tier talent like Laremy Tunsil should stabilize the offensive line almost instantaneously. He will compete for a starting position as the team’s left tackle this season and has a floor as a starting guard over Dallas Thomas, Billy Turner, Jamil Douglas, and Jermon Bushrod. Whether he beats out Branden Albert or not will be a huge storyline through training camp, and there are many that think he will do so sooner rather than later. Whatever happens this season, Tunsil projects as the franchise cornerstone left tackle of the future, and his presence in Miami could turn the team’s Achilles heel into a legitimate strength down the line.

Suffered: Branden Albert

Miami’s selection of Laremy Tunsil has made Branden Albert much less valuable going forward. Albert, while still talented in his own right, has been rendered ineffective at times due to his rather extensive injury history. He’s also 31 years old. So, when you factor his injuries, age, and bloated salary it’s not difficult to visualize the team cutting ties with him in the near future. Albert may be able to stave off the rookie from assuming his starting tackle role, but it is more likely that Albert is forced to move to left guard at some point in the season. Most tackles are able to play as effective interior O-lineman, and there’s reason to believe that Branden Albert can do the same. He actually played left guard for most of his college career at the University of Virginia, while future NFL Pro Bowlers D’Brickashaw Ferguson and Eugene Monroe were starting left tackles. Even in the event that Albert becomes an effective starter at left guard this year, the front office will not pay the aging veteran to continue to perform at his current salary past this season. If Albert wants to be a starting tackle in the NFL, he may have to look elsewhere in 2017.

Benefited: Jelani Jenkins

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One position that the Dolphins did not address during the draft was their thin linebacker corps. Miami’s linebacker corps was among the least effective in the league against both the run and passing situations. The team added Kiko Alonso in their trade with the Philadelphia Eagles, but have done little else in the offseason to bolster the ailing unit. Enter Jelani Jenkins, who was arguably the most impressive of Miami’s poor linebacker unit in 2015. With little competition for the spot opposite Kiko Alonso, it is the former Florida Gator’s job to lose. While Koa Misi and Zach Vigil should push him for snaps, I think that Jelani Jenkins’ flashes over the last few seasons gave the team enough confidence to address other areas of concern ahead of their weak linebacker corps.

Suffered: Cameron Wake

I believe that just about every position group on Miami’s defense improved in the offseason. Well, every position but the defensive line anyway. The starting lineup on the defensive line should still be fierce with Ndamukong Suh, Jordan Phillips, Cameron Wake, and All-Pro Mario Williams as the starters. But the defensive line has a glaring lack of depth behind these four, particularly on the edges, now that Olivier Vernon and Derrick Shelby are gone. Williams and Wake are both over 30, and Wake is coming off of an Achilles tear. At this point, the sackmaster would be best suited to a more rotational role, as Achilles injuries are notoriously difficult to return from. Because the team elected to leave the defensive line without new blue chip talent, Wake will have to produce early and often. If anyone is up to the challenge, it’s Cameron Wake. However, I’m not totally comfortable putting him at risk of reinjuring his Achilles before he’s 100%. Wake definitely would have benefited from a young defensive end to split snaps with while he works his way back from injury.

Benefited: Jarvis Landry

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(Photo: Dustin Bradford/Getty Images)

The team drafted “offensive weapon” Jakeem Grant with the first of their third round picks. Grant was nothing short of prolific as a wide receiver throughout his career at Texas Tech, but he does not project as a receiving talent at the next level. However, he should immediately assume the majority of the Dolphins’ returning duties from Jarvis Landry. This is perfect timing, as Landry should not be risking injury quite so often given that the offense relies so heavily on his services as the team’s best wide receiver. Now that Landry has a Pro Bowl pedigree and has earned his status as Ryan Tannehill’s security blanket, there is no reason to continue to risk his health for the sake of the special teams’ performance. The presence of Jakeem Grant, who had four return touchdowns in his college career, should allow them a seamless transition as Jarvis Landry continues to prove that he is a rising star at in the NFL.

 

Best/Worst Case Scenarios: How Will the Dolphins’ Draftees Perform as Rookies?

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Laremy Tunsil

Best Case Scenario:

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(Brett Davis – USA TODAY Sports)

Tunsil’s off-the-field issues and his corresponding draft day fall to Miami have been well documented, but every step he has since taken to repair his image has inspired optimism for his future. Tunsil’s handling of the negative publicity continues to impress well into the offseason. With every question about the gas mask video, receiving benefits from boosters or altercations with his stepfather, Tunsil takes accountability but impressively refocuses the attention back to his performance on the field.

By training camp, it is clear that Tunsil will be playing at left tackle, his natural position, in order to maximize the performance of the entire offensive line. 32-year old Brandon Albert shifts to guard, masking the inevitable decline of his athleticism, while the Dolphins’ young prodigy is able to display the talents that had him in discussion for the first overall pick in the 2016 NFL Draft.

Tunsil starts from day one, immediately becoming the anchor for a position group that has desperately needed stability over the past few years. He quickly becomes the best friend of head coach Adam Gase. The Ole Miss standout protects the blindside of developing quarterback Ryan Tannehill, while acting as a weapon in the run game despite the lack of a standout at the running back position. He even gets his wish and records a receiving touchdown when lining up as a tight end against the Pittsburgh Steelers. By midseason, it is clear that the selection of Tunsil was one of the best in the entire draft.

Worst Case Scenario:

Despite the progress that Tunsil has seemingly made, his prior behavioral issues catch up to him much sooner than expected. He gradually seems to become distracted and unable to cope with the typical pressure of being a rookie in the NFL. Additionally the stress of consistently being evaluated under a microscope by the league, the franchise, and the public only makes it more difficult for him to adjust. To make matters worse, the pre-arthritic ankle injury that supposedly contributed to his draft day fall leaves him on the sideline for part of his rookie season as the team attempts to sustain his health long-term.

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(Justin Ford – USA TODAY Sports)

Although Tunsil’s future is undoubtedly at tackle, the coaching staff is unwilling to move Albert to guard after his Pro Bowl season in 2015. The former Rebel’s play remains solid, if not unspectacular, at his new position. His athletic abilities are evidently up to par, but he struggles at times as he learns the intricacies of the guard position. While his upside remains, he does not yet show the potential that had scouts considering him the top overall prospect throughout much of the draft process. Tunsil evidently must wait until his sophomore season to play at his natural position in order to ultimately provide the fan base the excitement that has been expected since his named was called in Chicago.

Xavien Howard

Best Case Scenario:

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(Jamie Squire – Getty Images)

Xavien Howard immediately starts across from Byron Maxwell in the Dolphins’ secondary. He shows exactly why Miami chose him in the second round and warrants claims about his fit in defensive coordinator Vance Joseph’s scheme. He experiences the inevitable growing pains of a rookie cornerback, but follows every mistake with some obvious growth.

Despite a weak start to the season against the Patriots and Seahawks, he breaks out against Robert Griffin III and the Browns in Week 3. In addition to two passes defended, Howard gets his first interception since the preseason and returns it for 30 yards to set up his offense in the red zone.

He adds necessary weight to his frame, which assists him in his attempts to match up against the game’s biggest receivers and hold his own in run support. Additionally, with the help of the defensive backs’ guru Joseph and the constant support given by a deep safety, he shows clear improvements in technique, and is able to cut down on the penalties that plagued him throughout his time at Baylor.

Teams quickly realize that Howard is a force to be reckoned with and make him a bigger part of their game plan. By the end of the season, Howard has totaled 12 passes defended, 3 interceptions, 50 combined tackles, and a sack.

Worst Case Scenario:

The former Baylor standout fails to claim the starting job across from Maxwell. He shows potential, but isn’t nearly as ready to contribute as the team expected when they spent their second round selection on him. Veteran receivers take advantage of his tendency to grab in coverage, and he remains a liability in run support, making it difficult for Joseph to keep him on the field.

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(Ronald Martinez – Getty Images)

His ball skills are still obvious, but he can’t seem to put himself in the right situations to display them. In turn, Howard totals just one interception in the entire season. Faster receivers consistently victimize him, and the concerns regarding his ability to track the ball in the air are obvious from the first snap of his NFL career. Joseph often successfully employs a deep safety to help offset these weaknesses, but this move takes away from some of his play calling flexibility and creativity.

Howard has his bright spots, particularly against the Dolphins’ weaker competition, but struggles with consistency throughout the season and surrenders far too many big plays. Even fellow rookie Corey Coleman of the Cleveland Browns beats Howard for a touchdown, and he predictably didn’t fare any better against the receiver corps in Pittsburgh and Arizona. Overall, Howard’s first season didn’t inspire much confidence in his ability to develop into a number one corner.

Kenyan Drake

Best Case Scenario:

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(Marvin Gentry – USA TODAY Sports)

By midseason, former Alabama afterthought Kenyan Drake finds himself in a full-on committee in the Miami backfield. He plays in nearly all third down and obvious passing situations, while also relieving starter Jay Ajayi on early downs at times as well.

Drake amazes Dolphins fans with his first-class explosiveness, consistently breaking off big plays in the run game and through the air. Gase takes advantage of his versatility by lining him up all over the field: in the backfield, out wide and in the slot. With a series of reverses, screen passes, and double moves, Gase makes sure to utilize Drake in ways that take advantage of his speed and play making ability.

He scores his first touchdown of his young career in Week 5 against the Tennessee Titans… on a kick return. This gives him momentum as the team enters a pivotal stretch against the Steelers, Jets, and Bills. While he doesn’t seem to have a fantastic statistical season, he impacts the game in so many different ways that the numbers are deceiving. He accumulates close to 1,500 total all-purpose yards and takes an immeasurable amount of pressure off of Ryan Tannehill, Jay Ajayi, and even Jarvis Landry. For these reasons alone, Miami’s biggest surprise pick of the 2016 NFL Draft immediately pays dividends.

Worst Case Scenario:

The Kenyan Drake experiment fails miserably. As predicted, his patience and vision are subpar at best. He relies on his speed far-too-often, bouncing his runs to the outside on the majority of his carries and failing to prove that he can make teams pay in between the tackles. This leaves Ajayi as the only Dolphins’ back capable of making a true impact on the early downs.

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(Matthews Emmons – USA TODAY Sports)

Unfortunately, Drake doesn’t transition into his role as third-down back as seamlessly as hoped either. He struggles with drops as he attempts to pick up Gase’s advanced offensive schemes and largely disappoints in pass blocking as well. While his few inevitable home run carries allow him to continue receiving opportunities in Miami’s offense, his inconsistency in an area that was supposed to be his strongest attribute leaves a lot to be desired out of a third round pick. Plus, while the team rewards him with kick off return duties early in his rookie season, he eventually loses the job after a series of returns that failed to reach the 20-yard line.

Additionally, he deals with multiple nagging injuries to his lower body throughout his rookie season. Not only does this stunt his early development, but it also has the team worrying that his legs may not hold up later on into his career. For a player that relies so much on his explosiveness, multiple leg injuries this early on can be extremely detrimental to his chances at success in this league.

Leonte Carroo

Best Case Scenario:

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(Jim O’Connor – USA TODAY Sports)

Fans understandably questioned the selection of Leonte Carroo due to the depth that the Dolphins seemed to have at wide receiver and the supposed weaknesses at other position groups (specifically guard and linebacker). Yet by the end of the season, Carroo verifies why the front office finally resorted to the “best player available” strategy with his selection. He beats out Matt Hazel for the fourth receiver spot and impresses even in his somewhat limited action.

He shows the smarts and necessary skillset to gain separation both from the slot and on the outside, which obviously helps him get onto the field, especially in obvious passing situations. He spends the first half of his rookie season gaining the trust of the coaching staff, utilizing his impressive hands to move the chains on a few key third downs against the Bengals on Thursday Night Football as well as against the Bills a few weeks later.

When Devante Parker once again falls victim to his own feet, Carroo finally moves into three-receiver sets. He scores his first touchdown in his second career start (against the 49ers in Week 12) and continues his strong play until Parker returns in Week 14. His performance to end the season inspires confidence in the coaching staff, allowing them to let Kenny Stills walk in 2017. Leonte Carroo spends his first year learning about the intricacies of the position, and what it takes to stay out of trouble off the field, from Jarvis Landry; the dividends are obvious as he progresses through his career.

Worst Case Scenario:

The top three wide receiver slots were quite obviously filled heading into the new season, but many expected Carroo to at least supplant Hazel for the fourth receiver spot. Instead, he remains stationary at five on the depth chart. His average explosiveness leaves him struggling to find ways to beat NFL-caliber defensive backs and, while he was able to outsmart college corners in order to gain separation in his routes, he doesn’t exhibit the same success in his rookie season at the next level.

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(Andrew Mills – NJ Advance Media)

More significantly, however, off-the-field concerns create worry about his ability to handle an NFL career. While Carroo seemed to have a skillset similar to that of Landry’s coming out of the draft process, the biggest difference was in their demeanor. Both are undoubtedly competitive, yet Landry has a desire to be great that is unmatched. Miami drafted Carroo knowing that for someone who had his fair share of suspensions in college, even the slightest loss of focus could’ve sent Carroo into a downward spiral. In this case, the decision backfired.

Jakeem Grant

Best Case Scenario:

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(John Weast – Getty Images)

Gase gets creative in order to make use of sixth round pick Jakeem Grant. With Landry, Parker, Stills, Hazel, and Carroo all ahead of Grant on the depth chart, there isn’t much playing time to be had. That doesn’t prevent him from making an impact, however. He gets his first real game action in sub packages when Parker deals with his inevitable foot injuries. Even when the entire receiver corps is healthy, Gase makes it a priority to at least occasionally get Grant into space to take advantage of his electrifying talent.

With a series of reverses, screens, swing passes, and routes out of the backfield, Grant has multiple opportunities to display his incredible shiftiness. While he doesn’t always take advantage of these chances, he shows enough to warrant consideration for a bigger offensive role in 2017. He accumulates a couple of plays for 20+ yards, in addition to a seven-yard touchdown on a screen pass in the fourth quarter of a blowout game against the Cardinals in Week 14.

Grant’s most significant contributions come on special teams. He takes over for Landry in the punt return game and beats out fellow rookie Drake for kick return duties as well. While he puts the team in bad field position a few times on kick returns as he attempts to make the big play, he more than makes up for it each time his ambition pays off. He brings much of the same excitement that Landry was able to bring, but helps Miami take their star player out of unnecessary harm’s way. In other words, Grant turned out to be exactly what the team hoped for when they spent their first sixth round pick on him.

Worst Case Scenario:

Gase attempts to get Grant involved as much as possible despite the depth at the position. However, for the most part, these attempts fail. Grant struggles to adapt to the speed of the NFL game. The “you can’t hit what you can’t catch” mantra remains, but avoiding defenders proves to be much more difficult at the next level. He runs around the field like a chicken with his head cut off, only to lose yards on the majority of his limited possessions.

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(Sue Ogrocki – AP Photo)

From the moment he was drafted, Grant was in the thick of punt/kick return competitions. However, those hopes quickly deteriorate. He struggles throughout training camp and fails to prove himself during the preseason. The former Red Raider consistently gets stopped prior to the 20-yard line on his preseason kick returns, and he even fumbles on a punt return against the Falcons in the third preseason game. He seems as if he is trying to do too much, and the coaching staff becomes worried that his size may result in future troubles holding onto the ball as well.

Despite how exciting he can be with the ball in his hands, his future seems bleak after his rookie season. He unfortunately reminds teams of the undersized former third round pick and new Buffalo Bill Dri Archer, who has failed to make an impact in the NFL despite his unbelievable speed. The overly optimistic hopes that he could eventually develop into a reliable slot receiver seems ridiculous at this point, and he may never make an impact on the Dolphins’ special teams. The franchise moves on from their 2016 sixth round pick much sooner than expected.

Jordan Lucas

Best Case Scenario:

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(Joe Hermitt – PennLive)

Jordan Lucas becomes an instant favorite of Joseph’s due to his obvious versatility and leadership skills. He spends time at both cornerback and safety throughout the season, putting his experience to good use all over the defensive backfield to fight his way onto the field as a rookie. Despite only being provided limited opportunities, he remains in the good grace of the coaching staff because of his reliability. This sets him up for more work down the road, which is all you can really ask from a sixth round pick.

Lucas becomes a valuable contributor on special teams as well. He excels in both kick and punt return coverage, and he even blocks a field goal. While he continues to develop his defensive game, his performance on special teams is his most significant contribution and maintains his standing as an option further down the road.

Nonetheless, he seems to pick up Joseph’s defensive schemes relatively well in the action that he was given, and he adds strength to his thin frame throughout the season. This assists him greatly in his ability to stick with bigger receivers as well as in run support. Evidently, by the conclusion of the 2016 season, Lucas seems ready to increase his role in 2017.

Worst Case Scenario:

The former Nittay Lion’s athletic weaknesses are evident from the start of training camp. He has subpar strength and speed, which severely hamper his ability in coverage. While Miami has seemed to favor him as a corner, he still needs a ton of development in this regard. This takes him out of consideration for cornerback and leaves safety as his only path to playing time on defense, at least in his rookie season. Unfortunately, there doesn’t expect to be many opportunities at safety behind incumbent starters Reshad Jones and Isa Abdul-Quddus.

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(Joe Hermitt – PennLive)

Lucas struggles with Tony Lippett and Michael Thomas for playing time throughout the season, but fails to separate himself from either. He is weak when mirroring receivers, which is an obvious setback for defensive backs. Additionally, he has average-at-best ball skills and is a liability in run support despite his obvious desire to excel in this area. These two aspects make it nearly impossible for Joseph to confidently employ Lucas in his zone heavy defense.

Fortunately, he manages to stick on special teams, but doesn’t stand out in any one area and remains a question mark heading into the next season. With the pass defense still struggling, Miami chooses to address the cornerback position with a high pick in the 2017 NFL Draft, sending Lucas even further down on the depth chart. While the franchise clearly approves of his work ethic and value in the locker room, it is difficult for them to hold onto a player that has no clear future with the team.

Brandon Doughty

Best Case Scenario:

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USA TODAY Sports

Many questioned the decision to draft a quarterback when some of their biggest and most apparent needs had gone unaddressed up to that point in the draft. Nonetheless, they added Western Kentucky star Brandon Doughty to the mix, and in this scenario the move plays big dividends.

Ryan Tannehill is the quarterback of both the present and the future for the Miami Dolphins; this much can’t be denied. However, current backup Matt Moore, while reliable for the time being, is getting up there in age and won’t be able to maintain a high enough level of play forever. Doughty’s production in college is almost unheard of and seemed to warrant taking the chance.

Doughty easily beats out Logan Thomas for the third quarterback slot on the depth chart along with a spot on the 53-man roster. Gase recognizes the weaknesses in arm strength and athleticism but values his game management skills and football smarts. These traits alone make it likely that he can develop into the reliable backup quarterback that every team needs for their roster a few years down the road. In 2020, Doughty takes over for an injured Tannehill and makes a huge impact on the team in relief, much like AJ McCarron did for the Bengals this past year.

Worst Case Scenario:

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(Raymond Carlin III – USA TODAY Sports)

Doughty receives every opportunity to beat out Thomas and make their active roster but crashes and burns in the preseason. He throws multiple interceptions while attempting to make passes that his arm strength clearly won’t allow, and he seems overwhelmed by the level of competition that he is now facing. He also gets sacked a few times, as he lacks the athleticism and quick decision making needed to avoid the loss of yards. The team seems to quickly realize, due to his performance in primetime and on the practice squad, that Doughty’s college production isn’t going to translate to the next level.

Linebacker Stephen Weatherly, selected just a few picks after Doughty, finally realizes his amazing potential for the Minnesota Vikings and makes the Miami Dolphins what they could have been had they held out on drafting the small school quarterback. Plus, they have to spend yet another pick on a quarterback within the next couple of years as they hope to find and develop their future number two.

Thomas Duarte

Best Case Scenario:

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(Kelvin Kuo – USA TODAY Sports)

Gase spends his first season as head coach experimenting with some of the new tools at his disposal, Thomas Duarte included. The UCLA standout lasted until the seventh round of the 2016 NFL Draft, but always seemed to have a lot to offer a team, especially one with an offensive minded head coach. Gase recognizes that Duarte, despite an obvious position, can be used as a mismatch: a player that is bigger than most cornerbacks but faster than most linebackers and safeties.

The path to playing time is understandably difficult as a late round pick that will be forced to play behind Jarvis Landry, Devante Parker, Kenny Stills, Jordan Cameron, and Dion Sims regardless of what position group Thomas Duatre is officially a part of. Nonetheless, he shows glimpses during the preseason and impresses enough at practice, earning him some playing time in sub packages later on in the season. He proves that he can be a vertical threat as well as a safety blanket for Tannehill if and when he is finally given his first true opportunity.

The addition of Duarte puts an exclamation point on a draft class that seemed focused on adding weapons to the offense’s arsenal.

Worst Case Scenario:

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(Joe Robbins – Getty Images)

Duarte injures himself prior to his first preseason game, leaving him unable to display a versatile skillset that had scouts comparing him to Jordan Reed while costing him valuable practice time. Gase appreciates what he has to offer, but struggles to find a place for him at the beginning of his career.

There is a ton of talent in front of him already, and the cards are stacked against him as a seventh round pick. His weakness as a blocker makes it extremely difficult for Gase to employ Duarte in a game setting. With Cameron and Sims in the mix, two tight end sets were never truly a possibility for Duarte in his rookie season. Cameron and Sims get through the 2016 season mostly unscathed, making the need for a third tight end minimal. By the end of his rookie year, Duarte seems destined for the practice squad, at least for the near future.

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